Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 5/10

Season Results:

• 389 Wins / 264 Losses
• +113.53 Units Of Profit
• 16.48% ROI

Lakers vs Heat 10:30am AEST

Once again am really not overly excited about betting into this game. One of the good things about betting on Miami these playoffs has been the super tight rotation, but it’s a bit of a mess now making things difficult. I thought Miami played really well in G2, but the athleticism and talent disparity without Goran and Bam was just too much in the end as they were still pretty comfortably beaten. Miami just can’t get stops and the Lakers shot quality has been amazing, so if Miami’s offence isn’t clicking again like in G2, it’s going to be very hard for them to stick around. Lakers had 28 wide open 3 point attempts in G2, and are averaging 60.5 potential assists per game, compared to Miami’s 46.5.

• Lakers -9.5 @ 1.95 with TAB – 1 unit

He was awesome (on the offensive end) in G2 finishing with a 24/9/2 line in a massive 37:00 minutes. He was surprisingly efficient going 9-16 (including a couple of awful shots) and it seems like they are going to have to rely on him again. I’m sure Miami’s coaching staff are already aware, but he killed them defensively so if his offence isn’t going, he might have a short leash. He’s at 18.0/11.4/3.2 per 36 in the playoffs, so shouldn’t have much difficulty clearing this line if he gets his minutes.

• Olynyk over 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.90 with TAB – 1 unit

Not at all keen to be over-exposed to this game, but a few others I didn’t mind the look of;

Rondo 7+ Ast @ 1.80 with TAB

Iggy 14+ PRA @ 1.86 with B365

Herro 23+ PA @ 1.80 with B365 

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Staking Plan

• Lakers -9.5 @ 1.95 with TAB – 1 unit
• Olynyk over 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.90 with TAB – 1 unit
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