Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 13/6

Results:

• 101.60 Units Profit
• 15.8% ROI

• View Results Spreadsheets

Clippers vs Jazz

Really like Morris to have a bounce back game here at home. PG, Kawhi, Morris and Reggie are seemingly the only guys with safe minutes right now as the rest of the rotation is a mess. and I’d expect them to all play around 40 in a desperation game down 2-0. He’s averaging 19.4 PRA per 40 for the series, despite shooting just 8-25 including 1-14 from 3. Really expect him to bounce back at home here.

• Marcus Morris over 17.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.88 with Topsport – 1 unit
• Marcus Morris over 3.5 3 Pointers @ 6.00 with Sportsbet – 0.2 units

Am honestly so surprised by it but Reggie has been so good for the Clips (offensively). One of the keys to Reggie’s success in the playoffs is the ability to get his shot off consistently. In tightly contested playoff games, being able to actually get your shots up can be extremely difficult for some guys but Reggie has looked awesome and is playing full of confidence with zero hesitation. He makes so many mistakes defensively but it might be a bit easier for the Clips to hide that if they continue to bring up their coverage on Donny. He’s averaging 19.9 per 36 in the playoffs so far and and 25.7 per 36 in this series.

• Reggie Jackson over 14.5 Points @ 1.86 with B365 – 1 unit

He only played the 14 minutes last game due to foul trouble, but it really felt like Lue wanted to play him more as I just can’t work out the Boogie minutes. Have to think he gets axed from the rotation today so Zu could swallow up the majority of those 12 minutes and get him to around 20. He managed 7 points last game in his limited time but fumbled a few catches and there were a few bad passes to him so he really could’ve had more. He’s had 0.53 PPM in the series which has him at 10.6 per 20. There’s a few too many question marks to take the base line but he has some intriguing upside.

• Ivica Zubac over 9.5 Points @ 4.00 with Sportsbet – 0.3 units

Missed a late 3 to hit the 30 PRA last game and although I’d like to come back to it I want to predominately be with the Clippers today. Going to have a little bet as the upside is definitely there with the role he’s in currently sans Conley and the potential of a lower Donny usage game.

• Joe Ingles over 3.5 3 Pointers @ 6.50 with Sportsbet – 0.2 units
• Joe Ingles over 4.5 3 Pointers @ 20.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units

Staking Plan – 2.8 units out

• Marcus Morris over 17.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.88 with Topsport – 1 unit
• Marcus Morris over 3.5 3 Pointers @ 6.00 with Sportsbet – 0.2 units
• Reggie Jackson over 14.5 Points @ 1.86 with B365 – 1 unit
• Ivica Zubac over 9.5 Points @ 4.00 with Sportsbet – 0.3 units
• Joe Ingles over 3.5 3 Pointers @ 6.50 with Sportsbet – 0.2 units
• Joe Ingles over 4.5 3 Pointers @ 20.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units

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