Our Black Book: Horses You Must Follow From The Valley 28/10
October 31, 2023
Our analyst has reviewed the sectional times, ratings & replays from last Saturday’s Moonee Valley meeting & has placed four horses you must follow in our black book below.
Although Mark Zahra has dumped him he’s going to take some beating again in the Melbourne Cup. His fifth in this year’s Cox Plate was as good if not better than his unlucky ninth the year before. His last 200 metres was 11.50 seconds which was 0.1 seconds slower than Mr Brightside who produced the fastest of 11.49 seconds.
VOW AND DECLARE
The 2019 Melbourne Cup winner will run in his fourth Melbourne Cup and he’s in his best form since he was victorious. It was a brave and tough effort to finish second in the Moonee Valley Cup behind Cleveland as he was caught wide for most of the race. He was measured to have run 12 metres further than Cleveland.
He showed an indication he could be back to his best with his ninth in the Moonee Valley Cup as he was held up for a run for a lot of the closing stages. Despite this he went to the line full of steam to finish ninth only 3.4 lengths from the winner. He recorded 11.50 seconds for the last 200 metres which was the second fastest in this race. His best European form is better than any of his northern hemisphere rivals.
Both these mares didn’t get a lot of clear air in the straight in the Cox Plate and could have won with any luck. Both will take beating in the Champions Stakes over 2000 metres at Flemington, especially Duais who has won an Australian Cup at that track and distance.
There’s no question he’s ready to win. He wasn’t suited by the track playing to on speed runners on Friday night but he finished on strongly for third behind Ain’tnodeeldun. He recorded the seventh fastest last 200 metres for the meeting of 11.37 seconds.
Failed narrowly to win and she was unlucky. Blinkers went on and she returned to her best but she was checked soon after the start and settled last. When Blake Shinn got her to the outside at the top of the straight she flew and she produced the fastest last 200m split of the day of 11.10 seconds.