Miami heads to Pittsburgh as a short underdog, and the matchup sets up well for the Dolphins to cover the +3 spread. The Steelers come in dealing with offensive uncertainty and mounting pressure on their quarterback situation, while their passing game continues to struggle with consistency and explosive plays. Pittsburgh’s offense has leaned heavily on field position and defense, but that margin shrinks against a Miami team capable of scoring quickly.
The Dolphins arrive with some injury concerns of their own, particularly in the secondary, but the core of their offense remains intact. Miami’s speed on the perimeter and ability to stress defenses horizontally presents a tough challenge for a Steelers unit that prefers to win games in the trenches. If Miami can protect the football and avoid early turnovers, they should be able to dictate tempo and force Pittsburgh out of its comfort zone.
From an against-the-spread perspective, underdogs of a field goal or less tend to perform well when they bring the more dynamic offense into a low-total game. With both teams likely to rely on defense and ball control, points should be at a premium, making the +3 especially valuable. This profiles as a one-score game deep into the fourth quarter.
Pick: Dolphins +3
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