Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 24/8

Season Results:

• 327 Wins / 209 Losses
• +108.35 Units Of Profit
• 19.43% ROI

Celtics vs 76ers 3:00am AEST

Looking for a bounce back here after an extremely sub-par game 3. He struggled early on and it looked like he was getting really frustrated which set the tone for the rest of the game, picking up 3 first quarter fouls causing Stevens to bench him the whole 2nd. Came out flat in the second half and didn’t add to his 5 points until 4:43 left in the 3rd, before finishing off a bit better with 15. He was 6-19, and missed all types of shots from floaters, layups, contested 3’s and went 0-3 on wide open 3’s. Was scorching hot before this with 32,33 in the 2 games prior. Jrich was playing some solid defence on him but I wouldn’t give him too much credit for Tatum’s poor night as he still got – and missed – a bunch of good looks. He’s had a team high 29.3 usage over the 2 games without Hayward. Kemba stepped up for them in G3, but this is still Tatum’s team. Think he’ll flirt with 40 minutes in this one.

• Tatum over 25.5 Points @ 1.87 with Ladbrokes – 1 unit (26.5 on B365 next best which I’d take)

Don’t expect them to make a call on Luka tonight so won’t be able to have any bets ready. If you’re getting up to watch it, make sure to check my twitter where I’ll post anything I like

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Raptors vs Nets 8:30am AEST

This is just too good a matchup for him to pass up again. I didn’t play him the first game as I was worried about a blowout, but he ended up just having a bad game which turned me off for game 2. Opened up game 2 with 14 points in the first quarter, then finished with 19 in 36 minutes. Finally took advantage of his matchup over a full game by getting aggressive against the small Nets team with 61% of his shots coming in the paint in game 3. He had a 35.1% usage finishing with 26 points in 32 minutes. Blowout obvious risk again but can do his damage early.

• Siakam over 21.5 Points @ 1.90 with TAB – 1 unit

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Nuggets vs Jazz 11:00am AEST

Looks so good. He’s dominating the matchup with Jokic. He’s scored 17,19,24 through the 3 games, but it was nice to see the rebounds come back last game after they made the adjustment to let him roam the paint more as opposed to following Jokic around. Jazz are moving the ball so well, ripping apart the Nuggets defence. He played 21.4 first half minutes in G3, so should be in line for plenty more here. When he’s scoring, it feels like he elevates to another level defensively so would expect his team-mates try get him going early.

• Gobert over 28.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.88 with Beteasy – 1 unit

One side is playing full of confidence and turning it into easy looks each time down the floor, the other looks an absolute mess. That is now back to back blowouts and Jazz easily could have been up 3-0 here. I’m just not sure what adjustments Denver has to make. Personnel wise, they may move Grant into the starting line-up (for Porter) as this line-up was significantly better defensively. If Denver opt to cheat off 3 point shooters to help handle Gobert, Jazz will be left with a bunch of open looks and they are knocking everything down at the moment. If they decide to stay attached, Rudy will feast in the paint. I wasn’t high on Utah coming into the bubble but am really coming around on them. Snyder is doing a great job.

• Jazz -3.5 @ 1.91 – 1 unit

Staking Plan

• Tatum over 25.5 Points @ 1.87 with Ladbrokes – 1 unit
• Siakam over 21.5 Points @ 1.90 with TAB – 1 unit
• Gobert over 28.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.88 with Beteasy – 1 unit
• Jazz -3.5 @ 1.91 – 1 unit
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