Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 12/1

Cavs vs Grizzlies 11:10am AEST

Season Results:

• 41 Wins / 66 Losses
• 12.57 Units Profit
• +18.57% ROI
• View Results Spreadsheets

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Cavs vs Grizzlies 11:10am AEST

Always like to have a look at the totals to help choose which games to target the player props in and was honestly expecting to see this closer to 200. These teams are both seriously challenged offensively, with the Grizzlies currently ranked 27^th and the Cavs ranked 30^th. Both teams however have been able to remain competitive by slowing the pace right down, Cavs ranked 28^th, Grizz 18^th and relying on their defences. Cavs surprisingly have the best defence in the league through 10 games, and the Grizz aren’t far behind coming in 9^th. They met just a few days ago and it was the Cavs winning 94-90. Cavs shot 43.3% from 3 and Grizz 35.5% so it wasn’t a case of them simply just missing shots. Cavs haven’t scored 100 points in any of their last 7 games, averaging just 91.7 points in that span, while Grizz have just got above 94 once which in their last 4 which was in their most recent game against the Nets.

Been waiting all night for a line to go up, but it hasn’t so wanted to lock something in now. You can get this market on TopSport through the player bets, but you have to multi it with something. I added Indiana ML for 2.89 odds and played 1 unit on it on it which would be recommended bet size if following.

• Cavs/Grizzlies under 217.5 Points / Indiana ML @ 2.89

Magic vs Bucks 11:10am AEST

There isn’t a heap of meat on the bone here but it’s a very strong play and hopefullywe can cash in on some alts. With Fultz out, Cole moved into the starting line-up but it was AG who is seemingly a major beneficiary as he was playing the backup point. He had the ball in his hands for 5.6 minutes which is a huge bump up from the 2.3 per game he had before. He did see a season high 35 minutes which is also a great sign. This Bucks starting unit is scary, so having AG come back in and play against the bench will be great for him. He’s a very willing playmaker and over the final 14 games last season, he had 6+ assists 7 times,  8+ 5 times and even had a game with 11. Bit of a shame I don’t have much confidence in the Magic being able to stick around here, as I would’ve loved to smash his PA line.

• Aaron Gordon over 3.5 Assists @ 1.70 with Topsport – 1.2 units
• Aaron Gordon over 5.5 Assists @ 4.00 with TAB – 0.2 units
• Aaron Gordon over 7.5 Assists @ 11.00 with TAB – 0.1 units

Hornets vs Knicks 11:10am AEST

Huge price here. We might finally be seeing PJ get unleashed with 36+ mins in 2 of the last 3 games. No doubt the matchup with Atlanta had a bearing on it but he’s coming off his best game of the season so I wouldn’t be surprised to see Borrego roll with him again here. He’s had 11 blocks over his last 3 games and they can certainly continue here as Borrego said he wants PJ to challenge everything he can at the rim. The Knicks shots also get blocked the 2^nd most in the league per game. Having a tiny bit on his PRA line as well as the knicks allow the most shots at the rim to forwards. I would have a whole unit on his base line but I want to see him play 35+ minutes against another team first and we are already invested in him today.

• PJ Washington over 1.5 Blocks @ 2.65 with B365 – 1 unit
• PJ Washington over 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 5.70 with TAB – 0.2 units

Suns vs Wizards 11:10am AEST

Went off against the Pacers with a career high 34 points last time out, which was timely as he had been struggling a bit in the few prior. He’s likely going to get the task of defending Beal here so his minutes in the mid 30’s should be safe. Gets the gun matchup here against the Wizards who have allowed the 3^rd most points to SFs this season. You can take your pick of the suns tonight but coming off his massive game you have to think he’s going to be pretty active here.

• Mikal Bridges over 13.5 Points @ 1.88 with Topsport – 1 unit

Pacers vs Kings 2:10pm AEST

This is as good a spot he’s been in all season. He’s been doing his damage in the paint this season with 68.0% of his points coming in there so should be licking his lips here against the Kings who give up the most points in the paint in the league at 53.0 per game. Not really a whole lot more to say here. He’s been awesome all season and is coming off a monster game against the Suns with 28/22/4 taking a season high 24 FGA.

• Sabonis over 25.5 Points + Assists @ 1.83 with B365 – 1 unit

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Staking Plan – 4.7 units out

• Aaron Gordon over 3.5 Assists @ 1.70 with Topsport – 1.2 units
• Aaron Gordon over 5.5 Assists @ 4.00 with TAB – 0.2 units
• Aaron Gordon over 7.5 Assists @ 11.00 with TAB – 0.1 units
• PJ Washington over 1.5 Blocks @ 2.65 with B365 – 1 unit
• PJ Washington over 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 5.70 with TAB – 0.2 units
• Mikal Bridges over 13.5 Points @ 1.88 with Topsport – 1 unit
• Sabonis over 25.5 Points + Assists @ 1.83 with B365 – 1 unit
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