EPL Week 22 Preview: Stats, Insights & Everything You Need To Know | The Sporting Base
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EPL Week 22 Preview: Stats, Insights & Everything You Need To Know

January 11, 2019

By Lindsay

We’re now through the festive calendar of 40 games in 14 days and the Premier League is really heating up. We’ve got everything you need to pick a winner or just find out what your teams chances are.

WEST HAM VS ARSENAL – SATURDAY 12 JANUARY, 12:30PM, LONDON STADIUM

West Ham

  • Last 5 Matches: WLWLD
  • Ladder Position: 10th
  • Goal Difference: -3 (GF 29, GA 32)

Arsenal

  • Last 5 Matches: LWDLW
  • Ladder Position: 5th
  • Goal Difference: +15 (GF 46, GA 31)

A London Derby launches Week 22 and neither West Ham, nor Arsenal have been particularly consistent of late, or trustworthy from a betting perspective. West Ham United are looking for a first win in three Premier League matches, while Arsenal are targeting a second successive top-flight derby victory after returning to winning form to beat Fulham last week.

Did you know?

Arsenal are unbeaten in 11 away matches at West Ham in all competitions, since losing 1-0 in the Premier League in November 2006.

Betting Insights:

  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Arsenal’s last six EPL day matches as an away favourite.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Arsenal’s last 10 EPL away matches.
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored at least one goal in each of Arsenal’s last three EPL matches as a favourite.

Our Tip: Arsenal

BRIGHTON AND HOVE ALBION VS LIVERPOOL – SUNDAY 13 JANUARY, 3:00PM, AMEX STADIUM

Brighton

  • Last 5 Matches: LLDWD
  • Ladder Position: 13th
  • Goal Difference: -5 (GF 24, GA 29)

Liverpool

  • Last 5 Matches: WWWWL
  • Ladder Position: 1st
  • Goal Difference: +39 (GF 49, GA 10)

Liverpool are on a two game losing streak after dropping their last Premier League game to Manchester City and the FA Cup tie against Wolves. On the plus side Liverpool has won all three Premier League meetings with Brighton with an aggregate score of 10-1 across those games.

Did you know?

Mohamed Salah has scored twice and assisted two more goals in his three PL appearances against Brighton.

Betting Insights:

  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Liverpool’s last eight EPL day matches as an away favourite.
  • Liverpool has won five of its last six EPL day matches to nil.
  • Mohamed Salah has scored six goals in Liverpool’s last five EPL matches as a favourite.

Our Tip: Liverpool -1.0

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BURNLEY VS FULHAM – SUNDAY 13 JANUARY, 3:00PM, TURF MOOR

Burnley

  • Last 5 Matches: LLLWW
  • Ladder Position: 16th
  • Goal Difference: -21 (GF 21, GA 42)

Fulham

  • Last 5 Matches: LDDWL
  • Ladder Position: 19th
  • Goal Difference: -28 (GF 19, GA 47)

Together in the relegation battle, Burnley and Fulham will be absolutely desperate to gain three points when they face off at Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon. Although Fulham won the reverse fixture between these teams 4-2 at Craven Cottage, it will be the Clarets who enter this contest ahead on the standings – three spots better off in 16th.

Did You Know?

Burnley are unbeaten in their last 29 home matches against Fulham in all competitions, since a 2-0 top-flight defeat in April 1951.

Betting Insights:

  • Fulham has lost eight of its last nine EPL away matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last four league matches between Burnley and Fulham.
  • Aboubakar Kamara has scored a goal in two of Fulham’s last three EPL away matches.

Our Tip: Burnley

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CARDIFF VS HUDDERSFIELD TOWN – SUNDAY 13 JANUARY, 2:00AM, CARDIFF CITY STADIUM

Cardiff

  • Last 5 Matches: LLDWL
  • Ladder Position: 17th
  • Goal Difference: -22 (GF 19, GA 41)

Huddersfield

  • Last 5 Matches: LLLLL
  • Ladder Position: 20th
  • Goal Difference: -24 (GF 13, GA 37)

Cardiff City are aiming to return to winning ways after back-to-back defeats in all competitions, while Huddersfield Town are seeking to avoid a ninth successive Premier League loss.

Did You Know?

Neil Warnock’s Bluebirds have scored 68 per cent of their PL goals this season in the second half, with 13 out of 19. Town have scored 13 in total this term.

Betting Insights:

  • Cardiff has won each of its last five league home matches against Huddersfield.
  • The ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Cardiff’s last five EPL day matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in four of Cardiff’s last five EPL day matches.

Our Tip: Cardiff

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CRYSTAL PALACE VS WATFORD – SUNDAY 13 JANUARY, 3:00PM, SELHURST PARK

Palace

  • Last 5 Matches: WWDLW
  • Ladder Position: 14th
  • Goal Difference: -7 (GF 19, GA 26)

Watford

  • Last 5 Matches: WWLDD
  • Ladder Position: 8th
  • Goal Difference: -1 (GF 30, GA 31)

Palace has been in some good form over the past few weeks, picking up seven points from their Premier League commitments over Christmas and progressing in the FA Cup. Watford has been pushing along as well with five points over Christmas and a Cup win as well. This fixture favoured Palace as of late however the Hornets did win the reverse fixture in August, their first one in almost three years.

Did You Know?

Roy Hodgson’s side have won three of their five PL matches this season with Vicente Guaita in goal, conceding 0.6 goals per fixture. They won three of 16 with Wayne Hennessey, shipping 1.4 goals per match.

Betting Insights:

  • The home team has won three of the last four EPL matches between Crystal Palace and Watford.
  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Crystal Palace’s last seven EPL day matches as a favourite.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Crystal Palace’s last seven EPL matches as a home favourite.

Our Tip: Crystal Palace

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LEICESTER CITY VS SOUTHAMPTON – SUNDAY 13 JANUARY, 3:00PM, KING POWER STADIUM

Leicester

  • Last 5 Matches: LWWLW
  • Ladder Position: 7th
  • Goal Difference: +2 (GF 25, GA 23)

Southampton

  • Last 5 Matches: WWLLD
  • Ladder Position: 18th
  • Goal Difference: -17 (GF 21, GA 38)

The Eagles’ 2-0 victory at the Molineux moved them six points clear of the relegation zone while also marking 10 points gained from their last five EPL matches. Watford has been similarly strong recently, losing just one of its last six league outings, including a thrilling 3-3 result at Bournemouth during Week 21. 

Did You Know?

Southampton are looking for their first goal in five PL trips to Leicester, having gone 370 minutes without a top-flight strike at King Power Stadium.

Betting Insights:

  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Leicester’s last six EPL matches as a favourite.
  • Leicester has kept a clean sheet in each of its last four EPL home matches against Southampton.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in five of Leicester’s last six EPL matches.

Our Tip: Leicester

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CHELSEA VS NEWCASTLE – SUNDAY 13 JANUARY, 5:30PM, STAMFORD BRIDGE

Chelsea 

  • Last 5 Matches: WLWWD
  • Ladder Position: 4th
  • Goal Difference: +22 (GF 38, GA 16)

Newcastle

  • Last 5 Matches: WDLDL
  • Ladder Position: 15th
  • Goal Difference: -14 (GF 15, GA 29)

Winless in four, Newcastle would love to break out of that streak this weekend… Unfortunately, the fixture list has them facing Chelsea. The Blues deployed a second string side in the Carabao Cup midweek so their big guns should be fit and firing for this one. Chelsea are far from immune to an upset if the past few weeks are anything to go by, dropping points away to Wolves and at home to Leicester and Newcastle would love for that form to pop up here.

Did You Know?

Maurizio Sarri’s Blues have failed to score in their last two PL home matches but have not gone three without a goal in the top flight since November 1993 under Glenn Hoddle.

Betting Insights:

  • Chelsea has won each of its last five EPL matches against Newcastle United at Stamford Bridge.
  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Chelsea’s last five EPL home matches.
  • Eden Hazard has scored three goals in Chelsea’s last three EPL matches against Newcastle.

Our Tip: Chelsea -1.0

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EVERTON VS BOURNEMOUTH – MONDAY 14 JANUARY, 2:15PM, GOODISON PARK

Everton

  • Last 5 Matches: LLWLL
  • Ladder Position: 11th
  • Goal Difference: 0 (GF 31, GA 31)

Bournemouth

  • Last 5 Matches: LWLLD
  • Ladder Position: 12th
  • Goal Difference: -9 (GF 31, GA 40)

Everton are hoping to avoid a third successive Premier League defeat as they host AFC Bournemouth, who are only behind them on goal difference and are targeting a first win in four top-flight outings.

Did You Know?

The Toffees are aiming to improve their record in PL fixtures played on a Sunday, having won just two of their last 19 and lost five out of seven this season.

Betting Insights:

  • Both teams average 1.5 goals for per game.
  • Clashes at Goodison Park average a total of 3.1 goals.
  • The average winning margin at Goodison Park is 2.0

Our Tip: Everton

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TOTTENHAM VS MANCHESTER UNITED – MONDAY 14 JANUARY, 4:30PM, WEMBLEY STADIUM

Spurs

  • Last 5 Matches: WWWLW
  • Ladder Position: 3rd
  • Goal Difference: +25 (GF 46, GA 21)

United

  • Last 5 Matches: LWWWW
  • Ladder Position: 6th
  • Goal Difference: +11 (GF 43, GA 32)

This easily looks like the best fixture in Week 22 and we’re set for an outstanding contest between Spurs and United in London. Spurs have been in great form all season but are without Son for this one who is on duty for South Korea in the Asian Cup, while United have been in terrific form recently and are seeking a fifth-consecutive win.

Did You Know?

Spurs are the only Premier League side yet to record a draw this season.

Betting Insights:

  • Both teams average over 3 total match goals.
  • Spurs have a 82.4% strike rate when favourite.
  • Clashes at Wembley Stadium average a total of 3.0 goals.

Our Tip: Manchester United

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MANCHESTER CITY VS WOLVERHAMPTON – TUESDAY 15 JANUARY, 8:00PM, ETIHAD STADIUM

City

  • Last 5 Matches: WLLWW
  • Ladder Position: 2nd
  • Goal Difference: +39 (GF 56, GA 17)

Wolves

  • Last 5 Matches: WLDWL
  • Ladder Position: 9th
  • Goal Difference: -2 (GF 23, GA 25)

City recorded their biggest win of the season over Liverpool last weekend and have cut the Reds’ lead down to only four points. They are full of confidence and should simply dispatch a Wolves side that has been quite inconsistent of late.

Did You Know?

The average winning margin at Etihad Stadium is 2.6 goals.

Betting Insights:

  • Manchester City have a 76.2% strike rate when favourite.
  • Manchester City average 2.7 goals per game.
  • Clashes at Etihad Stadium average a total of 4.3 goals.

Our Tip: Manchester City – 2.0

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