EPL Week 11 Game By Game Preview – Stats & Betting Insights | The Sporting Base
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EPL Week 11 Game By Game Preview – Stats & Betting Insights

November 2, 2018

By Lindsay

Week 11 of the Premier League is upon us so it’s time we give you all of the insights for every game this week and try to improve on tipping 6/10 last week.

Bournemouth V Manchester United – Saturday 3rd November 12:30pm (Vitality Stadium)

High-flying AFC Bournemouth are seeking a fourth victory from five Premier League matches as they host Manchester United, who are looking for a second successive win after beating Everton.

The Cherries are unbeaten in their last six PL home matches (W4 D2), with their last defeat at the Vitality Stadium coming against Man Utd in April.

Insights:

  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Manchester United’s last four EPL matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Manchester United’s last six EPL matches.
  • Across all competitions, Callum Wilson has scored four goals in Bournemouth’s last six matches.

TIP: Draw

Cardiff City V Leicester – Saturday 3rd November 3:00pm (Cardiff City Stadium)

Leicester City are bidding to end a three-match winless run as they visit Cardiff City, who are seeking to stay out of the bottom three.

Cardiff are unbeaten in four home matches against Leicester in all competitions, since a 3-2 defeat in the 2009/10 Championship play-offs.

Insights:

  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Leicester’s last eight EPL away matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of Leicester’s last eight EPL matches.
  • Jamie Vardy has scored a goal in four of Leicester’s last six EPL matches as an away favourite.

TIP: Leicester

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Everton V Brighton – Saturday 3rd November 3:00pm (Goodison Park) 

Brighton have won three in a row to lift themselves out of the doldrums of the Premier League and each victory has come with the final score of 1-0.

Everton were on a three-match winning run of their own before losing to Manchester United last time out.

Insights:

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Brighton’s last four EPL matches.
  • Brighton has trailed 1-0 at half-time in four of its last five EPL away matches.
  • Gylfi Sigurdsson has scored three goals in Everton’s last three EPL home matches.

TIP: Everton

Newcastle V Watford – Saturday 3rd November 3:00pm (St. James’ Park)

Still winless in 2018/19, Newcastle United will be desperate to open its account when an in-form Watford lineup arrives at St. James’ Park.

Watford have won their last four PL meetings with Newcastle and could now match their longest run of victories against an opponent in the top flight, having beaten Stoke City five times in a row between 1983 and 2015.

Insights:

  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Watford’s last seven EPL away matches.
  • There have been exactly two goals scored during the first half in three of the last four EPL matches between Newcastle United and Watford.
  • Roberto Pereyra has scored a goal in each of Watford’s last two EPL matches.

TIP: Watford

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West Ham V Burnley – Saturday 3rd November 3:00pm (London Stadium)

West Ham will have to go into this game without captain Mark Noble after his red card against Leicester which may force them into a slight reshuffle and leave them with a leadership void.

Burnley will just be happy to see the back of the last fortnight where they were on the wrong end of hammerings from Manchester City and Chelsea.

Insights:

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of West Ham’s last 10 EPL matches as a favourite.
  • Burnley has won only one of its last 13 EPL matches following a loss.
  • There have been three or more goals scored during the second half in three of Burnley’s last four EPL matches.

TIP: West Ham

Arsenal V Liverpool – Saturday 3rd November 5:30pm (Emirates Stadium)

Arsenal are aiming to extend an eight-match unbeaten run in the Premier League, while Liverpool are yet to taste defeat in the top flight this season, as two of the top four sides go head to head at Emirates Stadium.

Arsenal are looking for their first PL victory over Liverpool in seven attempts (D3 L3). This is their longest such run against the Reds since a sequence of 12 between 1994 and 2000.

The last five PL meetings between these teams have produced 27 goals, an average of 5.4 per match.

Insights

  • The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Arsenal’s last nine EPL night matches.
  • The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of the last nine EPL matches between Arsenal and Liverpool.
  • Mohamed Salah has been the first goal-scorer in each of Liverpool’s last two EPL matches.
  • Roberto Firmino has scored at least one goal in four of Liverpool’s last five EPL matches against Arsenal.

TIP: Liverpool

Wolverhampton V Tottenham – Saturday 3rd November 7:45pm (Molineux Stadium)

Still lingering outside the top four after its 1-0 home loss to Manchester City, Tottenham Hotspur will look to bounce back when a stingy Wolverhampton side plays host at the Molineux.

Both Spurs and Wolves rank in the top five defensively this season, having conceded eight and nine league goals respectively.

Insights:

  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Wolverhampton’s last nine EPL matches.
  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Tottenham’s last four EPL matches.
  • Tottenham has won each of its last three EPL matches as a favourite to nil.

TIP: Tottenham

Manchester City V Southampton – Sunday 4th November 3:00pm (Etihad Stadium)

Leaders Manchester City are aiming to continue their unbeaten start to the campaign as they host Southampton, who have played out goalless draws in their last two matches.

Manchester City have won seven of their last nine Premier League meetings with Southampton, drawing one and losing one.

Insights:

  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 20 of Manchester City’s last 23 EPL home matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Manchester City’s last six EPL matches.
  • Riyad Mahrez has scored four goals in Manchester City’s last five EPL matches.

TIP: Manchester City -1.0

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Chelsea V Crystal Palace – Sunday 4th November 4:00pm (Stamford Bridge)

Picking up a point at home to Arsenal, would have felt as good as a win but Palace know they have another tough test coming up.

This fixture hasn’t always been kind to the favuorites with Palace picking up victories in two of the past three games with four of the past six ending with a final score of 2-1.

Insights:

  • Chelsea has kept a clean sheet in three of its last four EPL day matches.
  • Chelsea has led 1-0 at half-time in each of its last four EPL matches.
  • Ross Barkley has scored a goal in each of Chelsea’s last three EPL matches.

TIP: Chelsea -2.0

Huddersfield V Fulham – Monday 5th November 8:00pm (John Smith’s Stadium)

Huddersfield Town are targeting their first victory while Fulham are seeking to end a run of four straight losses as two of the bottom three teams meet at the John Smith’s Stadium.

Since scoring against Watford in April, Huddersfield have had 76 shots in Premier League home matches without finding the net, with 17 different players registering efforts on goal in that time.

Insights:

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Huddersfield’s last 10 EPL home matches.
  • Huddersfield has lost six of its last seven EPL home matches to nil.
  • Fulham is undefeated in its last 11 league matches against Huddersfield.

TIP: Fulham

MULTI TIP: West Ham + Liverpool + Manchester City -2.0 + Chelsea -1.0

 

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