NFL Week 8 Preview & Expert Tips - The Sporting Base
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2025 NFL Week 8 Preview: Our Expert Tips

October 26, 2025

2025 NFL Week 8 Preview: Our Expert Tips

The NFL season is heating up, and we’re here once again with our weekly betting breakdowns to help you find an edge. From injury updates to roster shake-ups and early ATS trends, we’ve got you covered with insights on the biggest matchups of the week. Let’s dive into our latest previews and see where the value lies.

I will likely be adding some more picks before the games, so make sure to check back.


Chicago Bears @ Baltimore Ravens

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The Bears are getting a slight spread in Baltimore and there’s compelling value leaning toward them to cover—and potentially win outright. The Ravens confirmed that Lamar Jackson will miss the game with a hamstring injury, paving the way for Tyler Huntley to start. Jackson’s dynamic dual-threat ability is a major loss for Baltimore. With him out, the Ravens’ offense is forced to scale back into more conventional schemes.

Chicago isn’t fully healthy either—tight end Cole Kmet is ruled out, and cornerbacks Tyrique Stevenson and Kyler Gordon are both absent, thinning their secondary. However, those defensive injuries matter less when facing a makeshift quarterback who lacks Jackson’s explosive arsenal. The Bears, under first-year coach Ben Johnson, have improved consistency and turnover margin, ranking among the league leaders in takeaways this season.

The Bears’ defense should create enough disruption, and their offense has enough to exploit a Ravens unit missing its top playmaker. Expect Chicago to keep this within one possession or pull the outright.

Pick: Bears +1.5

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Buffalo Bills @ Carolina Panthers

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Buffalo arrives on the road as solid favorites, but the line hovering around −7 may understate Carolina’s value. The Panthers are down rookie QB Bryce Young, who suffered a high ankle sprain and is likely out this week, opening the door for veteran Andy Dalton to step in. While a change at quarterback can raise concerns, Carolina’s ground game is thriving—backs Chuba Hubbard and Rico Dowdle combine for nearly 800 rushing yards this season, and they’ll lean heavily into that strength against a Buffalo defense missing safety Taylor Rapp (IR) and DT DaQuan Jones (calf, ruled out).

Buffalo’s pass-rush remains formidable, but their secondary coverage has been tested with depth issues. For bettors, road underdogs in the 6-8-point range have covered at a better clip than many realize when the visiting team’s injury narrative is stacked. With Carolina’s physical identity and the Bills shorthanded defensively, the Panthers have the scheme and motivation to stay competitive and keep this one within one possession.

Pick: Panthers +7

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Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts

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Indianapolis rolls into this divisional matchup as heavy favorites, and the spread around −14.5 is justified given their offensive dominance and Tennessee’s injury setbacks. The Colts are operating at an elite level—they’re currently averaging approximately 3.46 points per drive, the highest rate in the NFL this century. Their offense consistently scores on nearly every possession, giving them a huge efficiency edge heading into the contest.

Meanwhile, the Titans arrive shorthanded. Defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons and wide receiver Calvin Ridley are both ruled out, weakening Tennessee on both sides of the ball. Their rush-defense has been challenged, and with Ridley unavailable, the passing game loses its deep-threat dimension. Meanwhile, Indianapolis’ offense has no major injury announcements and remains balanced with Jonathan Taylor rushing and Daniel Jones finding space in the intermediate passing game.

From an ATS perspective, teams going up against division rivals with both depth and efficiency advantages cover double-digit spreads at a higher rate than many bettors realize. With the Colts’ historical efficiency and the Titans nursing key losses, scaling this edge via the spread makes strong sense.

Pick: Colts −14.5

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Dallas Cowboys @ Denver Broncos

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Dallas travels to Denver as a slight underdog, and the value leans toward the Cowboys covering +3.5 in this matchup. The Broncos may be technically favored, but injuries and inconsistencies offer Dallas a path to hang.

Denver enters with a solid injury report—Jonah Elliss returned to full practice after missing games, and Mike McGlinchey is participating fully after ankle/foot concerns. Their offensive line is trending back to form, and Coach Sean Payton’s group is disciplined.

But Dallas brings value. The Cowboys’ offensive line remains depleted: starting center Cooper Beebe is still recovering from an ankle injury, limiting interior stability. Meanwhile, the Broncos are without veteran linebacker Dre Greenlaw, suspended for this game due to misconduct, weakening the Chicago-style front that had been creating pressure. That could give Dak Prescott slightly more time and allow Dallas to exploit any schematic gaps.

From a betting trend perspective, road teams getting a field goal in this spot have historically covered at a higher percentage when the home team is managing off-field or roster issues. If Dallas can protect Prescott, mix in the run, and keep the scoreboard tight, they have every chance to not only cover but win outright.

Pick: Cowboys +3.5

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Green Bay Packers @ Pittsburgh Steelers

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Green Bay hits the road as a narrow favorite in Pittsburgh, but the edge leans toward the Packers covering thanks to roster nuances and matchup factors. The Packers are heading into this one without defensive end Lukas Van Ness (foot), and defensive tackle Devonte Wyatt (knee) is questionable—both key pieces in their interior rush scheme. Plus, wide receiver Christian Watson (knee) and kicker Brandon McManus (quad) are also listed as doubtful. Despite these setbacks, the Packers still bring a strong offensive unit led by Jordan Love and a creative scheme that can exploit Pittsburgh’s front.

The Steelers are banged up too—though fewer big names are ruled out, the buildup of wear and tear in their unit should not be ignored. Historically, road favorites of around 3 points tend to cover more often when they’re coming off recent momentum and the home team has limited roster depth. If the Packers can protect Love, execute their run-pass balance, and get ahead early, Pittsburgh’s crowd and edge fade.

Pick: Packers −3

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