2025 NFL Week 7 Preview: Our Expert Tips

The NFL season is heating up, and we’re here once again with our weekly betting breakdowns to help you find an edge. From injury updates to roster shake-ups and early ATS trends, we’ve got you covered with insights on the biggest matchups of the week. Let’s dive into our latest previews and see where the value lies.

I will likely be adding some more picks before the games, so make sure to check back.

Los Angeles Rams @ Jacksonville Jaguars (In London)

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Jacksonville is getting value at +3 at what has become like a home field in London, where the crowd and atmosphere neutralize some road-team advantages—and the matchup favors the Jags to win outright. They’ll be down linebacker Devin Lloyd (calf) and tight end Quintin Morris (groin), but maintain a physical edge up front and deeper secondary. On the offensive side, WR Brian Thomas Jr. and veteran target Tim Patrick combine for a potent receiving corps if healthy.

Los Angeles arrives with significant offensive injuries: star WR Puka Nacua (ankle) and veteran RT Rob Havenstein (ankle) are both ruled out for this week, limiting both receiving depth and pass protection. With Matthew Stafford facing added pressure and fewer weapons, the Rams’ ability to sustain drives and close games is impaired.

Against the spread trends support the Jags in this scenario: home teams under 4-point favorites in neutral or international venues often cover, especially when the visiting quarterback has protection issues and the offense is hampered by top-tier injuries. Jackson­ville should leverage its depth advantage and play with extra energy abroad.

Pick: Jaguars +3 (ML lean)

USA USER BETS

• 2 units ($200) Jaguars +3 @ -110 Bet With BetUS Here
• 1 units ($100) Jaguars moneyline @ +138 Bet With BetUS Here

AUS/ UK USER BETS

• 2 units ($200) Jaguars +3 @ 1.89 Bet With Unibet Here
• 1 units ($100) Jaguars moneyline @ 2.32 Bet With Unibet Here

Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns

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The Browns step into this matchup as slight favorites at home, with the line set around −2.5, and for good reason. Cleveland’s slim edge in the spread comes from Miami’s volatility, but Cleveland presents multiple angles of value. The Browns are down tight end David Njoku (knee, ruled out) and still evaluating defensive tackles Mason Graham and Mike Hall Jr. (both knee), along with right tackle Jack Conklin (concussion protocol). While those absences are significant, the Browns’ front continues to generate pressure and their “stay in the fight” cult remains intact.

Miami arrives with their own health hits: Elijah Campbell (quad) is out, and Storm Duck (ankle) is questionable—both impacting their secondary against a Browns scheme that leans tight and physical. On offense, Miami’s deep threats look thinner without their top backs and wideouts fully aligned.

From a betting perspective, home favorites getting less than a field goal in games where the visiting team has key defensive absences tend to cover better than expected. Cleveland’s identity—ground game, trench wins, red-zone efficiency—sets up favorably here. If they protect the ball and win early downs, the Dolphins won’t have the margin for error.

Pick: Browns −2.5

USA USER BETS

• 2 units ($200) Browns -2.5 @ -115 Bet With BetUS Here

AUS/ UK USER BETS

• 2 units ($200) Browns -2.5 @ 1.85 Bet With Unibet Here

New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears

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Chicago hosts New Orleans as the favorite, and there’s solid value backing the Bears to cover. The Saints limp into this matchup at 1-5 and still seeking consistency under the new regime. Their injury report is light on big names, but their offense has been sputtering; they failed to find the end zone last week despite moving the ball, highlighting an underlying efficiency issue.

Meanwhile, Chicago is trending upward — the Bears have won three straight and are getting healthier on offense. WR DJ Moore practiced fully and is expected to play, despite his recent hospital visit, and RB D’Andre Swift expressed optimism about suiting up despite a groin-issue listing. The kicking game remains a downside (kicker Cairo Santos is ruled out) but Chicago’s defense, led by new DC Dennis Allen (formerly New Orleans’ head coach), brings a revenge-angle and elevated intensity. The Bears upfront have also shown improved pressure and red-zone defense.

In ATS terms, home favorites of 4–5 points who are playing against teams in downturns tend to outperform expectations. With the Saints still searching for rhythm and Chicago ascending in confidence, this line looks tilted. If the Bears protect Moore and rush effectively early, they should pull away late.

Pick: Bears −4.5

USA USER BETS

• 2 units ($200) Bears -4 @ -115 Bet With BetUS Here

AUS/ UK USER BETS

• 2 unit ($200) Bears -4.5 @ 1.92 Bet With Unibet Here

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New York Giants @ Denver Broncos

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The Giants travel to Denver as moderate underdogs, but the spread offers compelling value. New York enters with several key absences: WR Darius Slayton and DL Chauncey Golston are both ruled out, while LB Abdul Carter is listed as questionable with a hamstring issue. On the flip side, the Broncos are coping with OL turmoil—veteran guard Ben Powers is on IR, and backup Alex Palczewski steps into the left guard spot, marking a significant downgrade against a Giants front that has shown flash. Meanwhile linebacker Dre Greenlaw returned to practice this week, but his full-game impact remains uncertain.

Offensively, the Giants lean on rising stars in QB Jaxson Dart and RB Cam Skattebo, both gaining confidence in recent games. The Broncos’ defense leads the league in sacks, but with protection changes up front and a bold Giants line backing this offense, disruption may be harder than expected.

Trends show that underdogs of 7 points on the road can perform better than public perception—especially when an opponent is dealing with internal incoherence. Considering Denver’s adjustments and New York’s upswing on both sides of the ball, the Giants look like a legitimate cover—and possibly more.

Pick: Giants +7

USA USER BETS

• 2 units ($200) Giants +7 @ Ev Bet With BetUS Here
• 1 units ($100) Giants moneyline @ +280 Bet With BetUS Here

AUS/ UK USER BETS

• 2 units ($200) Giants +7 @ 1.89 Bet With Unibet Here
• 1 units ($100) Giants moneyline @ 3.90 Bet With Unibet Here

Enter Our $500 Cash Giveaway Here

Houston Texans @ Seattle Seahawks

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Seattle hosts Houston as a modest favorite, and the edge leans toward the Seahawks covering −3, with a good shot at outright victory. The Seahawks’ injury report shows some turbulence: cornerback Devon Witherspoon is trending toward return after knee injury, but Julian Love remains hampered by a hamstring and Derick Hall is out with an oblique. Despite some back-end concerns, Seattle’s pass rush is intact and veteran leadership is stepping up.

The Texans are dealing with key absences: WR Christian Kirk is limited with a hamstring injury ahead of this matchup, reducing C.J. Stroud’s deep-threat arsenal. On defense, while two starters may return, their overall unit still lacks cohesion on long drives. Offensively, the Texans’ run game remains inconsistent and often forces Stroud into high-pressure throws.

From a betting trends perspective, road underdogs of 3 points or less often outperform expectations — but here, the Seahawks are at home and desperate for stability. With Seattle’s home-field crowd adding energy and Houston missing a key receiver, the Seahawks should impose a physical tone early, control the clock with the run, and set the pace. If protection holds and Witherspoon makes it, the Seahawks have the edge.

Pick: Seahawks −3

USA USER BETS

• 2 units ($200) Seahawks -3 @ -120 Bet With BetUS Here

AUS/ UK USER BETS

• 2 unit ($200) Seahawks -3 @ 1.88 Bet With Unibet Here

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Expert Tips

• 2 units ($200) Jaguars +3 @ 1.89 Bet With Unibet Here
• 1 units ($100) Jaguars moneyline @ 2.32 Bet With Unibet Here
• 2 units ($200) Browns -2.5 @ 1.85 Bet With Unibet Here
• 2 unit ($200) Bears -4.5 @ 1.92 Bet With Unibet Here
• 2 units ($200) Giants +7 @ 1.89 Bet With Unibet Here
• 1 units ($100) Giants moneyline @ 3.90 Bet With Unibet Here
• 2 unit ($200) Seahawks -3 @ 1.88 Bet With Unibet Here