The Commanders draw Denver to town as 6-point underdogs, but there’s value on Washington covering — and maybe even scrambling out a home win. Denver shows cracks despite being 9–2: their linebacker corps remains thin, with at least one starter questionable, and their offense may lack its usual rhythm with recent rotation on the offensive line. Meanwhile defensive star cornerback Patrick Surtain II is back from injury — but even with him active, Denver’s secondary has been vulnerable to pressure and inventive offensive schemes.
Washington, on the other hand, enters motivated. Quarterback Jayden Daniels remains out with a dislocated elbow, meaning the Commanders will rely on a backup under center — often a reason bettors shy away. Yet that may be offset by recent positive news: wide receiver Terry McLaurin is cleared to play, giving the offense speed and playmaking ability. Meanwhile, fresh run-game work and a defensive front now healthier after offseason moves could help stall Denver’s drives.
Historically, home underdogs in the 5–7-point range cover at a healthy rate when the favorite shows signs of wear and the home squad has hunger plus momentum. With Washington desperate to end a tough stretch, comfortable at home, and Denver showing vulnerability, this line has decent value.
Pick: Commanders +6 (cover, lean ML)
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