Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 31/3

Pre Break:

• 79.28 Units Profit
• 20.32% ROI

Post Break:

• 2.99 Units Loss
• -4.90% ROI
• View Results Spreadsheets

Hornets vs Wizards 10:10am AEST

He’s been awesome since LaMelo wen’t down and his numbers are up across the board averaging 24.3/5.3/5.5 over his last 4. If anyone else got up and watched the Suns/Hornets OT game the other morning, it was an absolute brick fest on both sides which resulted in CP hilariously ending up with just 1 assists from 18 potentials but Terry got extremely unlucky too with just 1 assists from 12 potentials so that 5.5 he is averaging over his last 4 really should be a bit higher. He’s handling the ball a ton more right now up at 5.5 minutes of touch time over the last 4 up from 3.2 on the season, and the more touches you get against the Wizards and their awful defence the better. Getting a really good price here for a number below his average (Sans LaMelo) in an awesome matchup. Flashed his upside 2 back when he had 11 dimes so am happy to have a bit on the higher number here as he should be set for big minutes again without Monk.

• Terry Rozier over 8.5 Rebounds + Assists @ 2.05 with Sportsbet – 1 unit
• Terry Rozier over 5.5 Assists @ 3.60 with Sportsbet – 0.3 units
• Terry Rozier over 7.5 Assists @ 10.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units

Nuggets vs 76ers 12:10pm AEST

Two straight ejections has me a little concerned so can’t too much on but this price is way too good to pass up on despite the bad matchup. Bradley has been shipped out and he’s now the only healthy centre on their roster. Doc has said several times that they like using him off the bench, so it wasn’t a surprise to see them start Scott over him against the Clippers but I don’t think they’ll be able to get away with doing that here against Jokic. Dwight did about as good a job as you could have hoped for in the playoffs last season so think they’ll have to give him some extended run today. He averages 17.1 boards per 36 so could smash through these if he gets the time. He’s had 13+ in 4 of his last 6 (ejections in both other 2) – crazy price. Chance he starts here so just trying to get in beforehand.

• Dwight Howard over 12.5 Rebounds @ 5.00 with B365 – 0.4 units

Magic vs Clippers 1:10pm AEST

They shot 45% from beyond the arc and MCW hit a layup with less than 30 seconds to go to destroy our TT bet against the Blazers, but they regressed down to 33% against the Lakers which is probably about what we can expect moving forward. They do get Ross back today but he’s been out for ages and may be a little rusty and they come up against a really strong Clippers D ranked 6th over the last 2 weeks. They are also playing at the leagues 6th slowest pace in that span so definitely don’t expect many easy transition opportunities. Clippers are missing a few guys today and on the b2b so not putting much on here as they could come out relaxed, but if they lock in this is in play at the huge odds.

• Both Score 80+ NO @ 81.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units

Staking Plan – 1.9 units out

• Terry Rozier over 8.5 Rebounds + Assists @ 2.05 with Sportsbet – 1 unit
• Terry Rozier over 5.5 Assists @ 3.60 with Sportsbet – 0.3 units
• Terry Rozier over 7.5 Assists @ 10.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units
• Dwight Howard over 12.5 Rebounds @ 5.00 with B365 – 0.4 units
• Both Score 80+ NO @ 81.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units
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