The official team lists are in for Rabbitohs vs Knights, and they could have a major impact on the betting markets ahead of kick-off. From favourable player matchups and returning stars to key injuries and positional changes, we’ve analysed the selections to uncover where the biggest betting opportunities may have emerged following Team List Tuesday.
Biggest Winners – Rabbitohs
Cameron Murray
Murray has been cleared to back up after State of Origin and his return gives South Sydney an enormous boost through the middle. His work rate, defence and ball-playing ability make him one of the most influential locks in the competition.
Betting impact: Murray’s inclusion strengthens the Rabbitohs through the middle and improves their chances of controlling possession, making South Sydney more attractive in head-to-head and first-half markets.
Campbell Graham
After overcoming a calf injury, Graham returns to the wing and immediately gives the Rabbitohs a reliable finisher and strong yardage option.
Betting impact: Graham shapes as a value anytime try scorer if South Sydney can exploit Newcastle’s right edge.
Brandon Smith
Smith continues to build combinations at hooker and should benefit from Murray’s return creating quicker rucks through the middle.
Betting impact: Faster play-the-balls could lead to more attacking opportunities close to the line.
Biggest Losers – Rabbitohs
Jye Gray
Gray has been dropped after filling in at fullback, with Matt Dufty taking over the No.1 jersey.
Rabbitohs spine combinations
With Matt Dufty and Ashton Ward continuing to build combinations, South Sydney may take time to find rhythm in attack against a quality Knights defence.
Rabbitohs right edge
The matchup against Bradman Best and Greg Marzhew shapes as one of the toughest defensive assignments of the weekend.
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Biggest Winners – Knights
Kalyn Ponga
Ponga has been named to back up after State of Origin and immediately transforms Newcastle’s attack. His ability to create line breaks and support through the middle makes him the game’s biggest X-factor.
Betting impact: Ponga is a genuine anytime try scorer chance and significantly boosts Newcastle’s attacking upside.
Bradman Best
Best also returns after Origin, reuniting one of the NRL’s most dangerous left-edge combinations alongside Ponga and Greg Marzhew.
Betting impact: Newcastle’s left edge becomes one of the best attacking matchups of the round.
Trey Mooney
Mooney returns to strengthen Newcastle’s middle rotation after injury concerns earlier in the week.
Betting impact: The Knights are better equipped to match South Sydney’s forward pack through the opening exchanges.
Biggest Losers – Knights
Jacob Saifiti
Saifiti remains sidelined, leaving Newcastle without one of its most experienced front-rowers.
Knights bench rotation
With Trey Mooney returning and Tyson Frizell back on the interchange, competition for middle-forward minutes increases.
Rabbitohs left edge
If Campbell Graham and Jack Wighton build early momentum, Newcastle’s right-edge defence will face a stern examination.