NRL State Of Origin Game 3 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan | The Sporting Base
[google-translator]

NRL State Of Origin Game 3 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

July 14, 2021

NRL State Of Origin Game 3 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

QLD are desperate to avoid the embarrassment of a NSW clean sweep while Brad Fitler’s men get a perfect opportunity to rub salt into the wounds. We’ve found 9 selections we’re keen on backing.

2021 Season Tipping Results:
  • 99 wins from 180 tips
  • + 23.40 Units Of Profit
  • $2,340 Profit Based On $100 Units
  • 55% Strike Rate
  • View Results Spreadsheet


QLD MAROONS VS NSW BLUES – WEDNESDAY 14TH JUNE, 8:10PM, CBUS SUPER STADIUM

It is the first time that all three games will be played in Queensland and it couldn’t have come at a better time for the Maroons as they look to prevent a NSW clean sweep.

Brad Fitler’s men have been dominant to say the least but with Nathan Cleary ruled and Ponga joining the QLD team this game could be a close game.


Match Points

Similar to Game 2, the total points line for State of Origin Game 3 is set in the mid-40’s with the number currently at 46.5.

It is a reasonable assumption to make that both teams will be happy to throw the ball around on Wednesday night with the forecast suggesting dry conditions.


First Try Scorer

It has been Tom Trbojevic and Josh Addo-Carr saluting for punters as the first try scorers.

Those two, along with Brian To’o have been installed as the three leading favourites in our First Try Scorer market for Game 3 and you would be well served to back each of them.



Important Stats:
  • Eight of the last 12 Origin matches have gone UNDER the total match points line.
  • Valentine Holmes has been the first try-scorer in each of his three previous Origin Game III appearances.
  • James Tedesco has scored at least one try in each of the last three Origin III matches.
  • Tom Trbojevic has scored at least one try in four of his last five Origin appearances.

Our  Staking Plan
  • 1 unit NSW 1-12 @ $3.30 with TopSport
  • 1 unit over 46.5 match points @ $1.90 with TopSport
  • 1 unit QLD +5.5 first half @ $1.99 with TopSport
  • 1 unit under 22.5 first half points @ $1.79 with TopSport
  • 1 unit Addo-Carr first try scorer @ $8.50 with TopSport
  • 1 unit Trbojevic first try scorer @ $9.25 with TopSport
  • 1 unit Holmes first try scorer @ $15 with TopSport
  • 3 units Trbojevic anytime try scorer @ $1.86 with TopSport
  • 3 units Ponga anytime try scorer @ $3.05 with TopSport
Total = 13 Units

Fill In The Form Below To Receive Our NRL News & Tips Straight To Your Email For FREE!

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Tell Us What You Think Below

November 6, 2025

Wishart wishes: Bears think they've found their first foundation half

The Perth Bears are getting more and more confident that Tyran Wishart will run out as their foundational halves star in 2027, with only the Melbourne Storm and Wishart's junior club, St George Read More

November 4, 2025

Curran shapes as latest victim of Bulldogs' squeezed salary cap

The ever-tightening salary cap squeeze in Canterbury-Bankstown looks set to claim another victim, with Josh Curran the latest Bulldog on the outer as Cameron Ciraldo's team looks to build towards a Read More

November 3, 2025

Katoa in hospital recovering from seizure activity, brain bleeding

Eliesa Katoa is stable and recovering in a hospital in New Zealand after suffering a series of head knocks before and during Tonga's Pacific Cup loss to the Kiwis that led to seizure activity and Read More