JULY 10,2026 - FRIDAY
NRL

NRL State Of Origin Game 3 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

4 years ago - Sportingbase NRL State Of Origin Game 3 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan Image
QLD are desperate to avoid the embarrassment of a NSW clean sweep while Brad Fitler’s men get a perfect opportunity to rub salt into the wounds. We’ve found 9 selections we’re keen on backing.

2021 Season Tipping Results:
  • 99 wins from 180 tips
  • + 23.40 Units Of Profit
  • $2,340 Profit Based On $100 Units
  • 55% Strike Rate
  • View Results Spreadsheet

Error, group does not exist! Check your syntax! (ID: 9)
QLD MAROONS VS NSW BLUES – WEDNESDAY 14TH JUNE, 8:10PM, CBUS SUPER STADIUM

It is the first time that all three games will be played in Queensland and it couldn’t have come at a better time for the Maroons as they look to prevent a NSW clean sweep.

Brad Fitler’s men have been dominant to say the least but with Nathan Cleary ruled and Ponga joining the QLD team this game could be a close game.


Match Points

Similar to Game 2, the total points line for State of Origin Game 3 is set in the mid-40’s with the number currently at 46.5.

It is a reasonable assumption to make that both teams will be happy to throw the ball around on Wednesday night with the forecast suggesting dry conditions.


First Try Scorer

It has been Tom Trbojevic and Josh Addo-Carr saluting for punters as the first try scorers.

Those two, along with Brian To’o have been installed as the three leading favourites in our First Try Scorer market for Game 3 and you would be well served to back each of them.



Important Stats:
  • Eight of the last 12 Origin matches have gone UNDER the total match points line.
  • Valentine Holmes has been the first try-scorer in each of his three previous Origin Game III appearances.
  • James Tedesco has scored at least one try in each of the last three Origin III matches.
  • Tom Trbojevic has scored at least one try in four of his last five Origin appearances.

Our  Staking Plan
  • 1 unit NSW 1-12 @ $3.30 with TopSport
  • 1 unit over 46.5 match points @ $1.90 with TopSport
  • 1 unit QLD +5.5 first half @ $1.99 with TopSport
  • 1 unit under 22.5 first half points @ $1.79 with TopSport
  • 1 unit Addo-Carr first try scorer @ $8.50 with TopSport
  • 1 unit Trbojevic first try scorer @ $9.25 with TopSport
  • 1 unit Holmes first try scorer @ $15 with TopSport
  • 3 units Trbojevic anytime try scorer @ $1.86 with TopSport
  • 3 units Ponga anytime try scorer @ $3.05 with TopSport
Total = 13 Units

CHANCES ARE YOU’RE ABOUT TO LOSE.

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

Cta Bg Image

Want To Receive Our NRL News Each Week?

We can email you our NRL Content as it comes in each week

Fill in the form & you will stop seeing this each time you view our insights & tips

Related Articles

Three golfers who could win the 2026 Scottish Open Image Three golfers who could win the 2026 Scottish Open

The PGA Tour is heading to Europe for the next two weeks. First off is the 2026 Scottish Open this weekend near Edinburgh. Then next week is the 154th...

16 hours ago
NRL: Jarome Luai Granted Early Exit as Tigers Make Stunning $1.2 Million Call Image
NRL
NRL: Jarome Luai Granted Early Exit as Tigers Make Stunning $1.2 Million Call

Jarome Luai was meant to be the player who helped transform the Wests Tigers. Less than two seasons later, the club is reportedly prepared to let its ...

8 hours ago
RACING TIPS: Sale – Thursday 9/7 Image RACING TIPS: Sale – Thursday 9/7

Sale hosts a competitive country meeting on Tuesday, with a mix of progressive gallopers and seasoned campaigners set to line up across the program. W...

16 hours ago
Header Logo
Blackbook
Form guide