NFL Week 3 Preview: Our Expert Tips & Staking Plan

We come into this one on the back of a big Thursday Night Football win where we tipped the Dolphins to go in and win as underdogs at Jacksonville. Now we have a great slate of games for you to get your teeth into, including what could be a battle of the best two teams in the league.

San Francisco 49ers @ New York Giants, MetLife Stadium

The 49ers have been absolutely decimated by injury. Last week they lost quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, running backs Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman and on defence they will be without Nick Bosa, Solomon Thomas, Dee Ford, and Richard Sherman. I love Kyle Shanahan as a coach, but there is a point when these injuries just become too much.

The Giants covered for us last week and this week they are a home underdog. While I am not picking them to go the Super Bowl I think they are a little better than the public perception and can get the win this evening.

There has been a stat going around this week that says that according to PFF, the 49ers will be without five of their best seven defenders from last season.

• 1 unit Giants +3 2.00 with TopSport

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Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots, Gillette Stadium

The Patriots came so close to coming out of Seattle with a win last week but even in a loss there was huge positives for New England. In particular Cam Newton and his arm looking as good as it ever has. His relationship with Julian Edelman and N’Keal Harry is really coming along as well. Bill Belichick has an incredible record after a loss and that could be bad news for the Raiders.

Las Vegas got their first win in their new stadium on Monday night and there were huge celebrations after. And while they could carry that momentum into this game there are a lot of red flags. Teams coming off emotional wins like this often have let down games. They are travelling across the country on a short week and ultimately, just aren’t as good of a team.

• 1 unit Patriots -6.5 1.95 with TopSport
• 1 unit Cam Newton any time touchdown 2.0 with TopSport

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Houston Texans @ Pittsburgh Steelers, Heinz Field

This is one of those games where I just have to trust my instincts and analysis of the teams coming into the season. I have the Steelers down as one of the AFC’s best and the Texans at the opposite end.

The Texans have had a rough start with two losses – although they have been to arguably the league’s best two teams. But the performances in those games have been really poor in my opinion. Once they get past the scripted plays at the start of the game they just look a little clueless. The Steelers defence is full of talent and they can shut down the limited options the Texans have.

Diontae Johnson has emerged as a key player for Pittsburgh, leading the team in targets and air yards. The Texans secondary is poor and he, as well as Juju Smith-Schuster can take advantage.

• 1 unit Steelers -4 1.91 with TopSport
• 1 unit Diontae Johnson over 65.5 yards receiving 1.87 with Ladbrokes

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Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints, Mercedes Superdome

Another game to trust my analysis. I was not high on the Saints coming into the season and there has been little to make me change my mind.

With Michael Thomas out it was pretty much all Alvin Kamara and while he is a superb running back, it is a lot to put on to him. With the exception of Tre’Quan Smith, no Saints player had more than two receptions and that is an issue against a Packers team that has put up 85 points in two weeks.

Like New Orleans, Green Bay are likely to be without their leading receiver in Davante Adams. But he missed a lot of last week’s game and they managed to still find some offence without him and can do again up against a Saints defence that has not been as good as expected.

The Packers are road dogs here so take the points and what in my opinion, is a better team.

• 1 unit Packers +3 2.07 with TopSport

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Kansas City Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens, MT&T Bank Stadium

This could be a matchup of the two best teams in the league. And while I would lean towards the Ravens, I am staying away from the winner of this game and focusing on player props.

The Chiefs run defence has been nothing short of bad through two weeks, and now they get arguably the best and most varied rushing attack in the league. There is an argument that Mark Ingram, JK Dobbins and Gus Edwards could all rack up yards here but in a huge game like this, I think Baltimore turn to Ingram who has been there and done it. Because of how I think the Ravens game plan will go, I am also looking at the under markets for receivers.

• 1 unit Mark Ingram over 5o rushing yards 1.80 with Ladbrokes
• 1 unit Mark Andrew under 4.5 1.95 receptions with Ladbrokes
• 1 unit Marquise Brown under 3.5 receptions 2.05 with Ladbrokes

Expert Tips

• 1 unit Giants +3 2.00 with TopSport
• 1 unit Patriots -6.5 1.95 with TopSport
• 1 unit Cam Newton any time touchdown 2.0 with TopSport
• 1 unit Steelers -4 1.91 with TopSport
• 1 unit Diontae Johnson over 65.5 yards receiving 1.87 with Ladbrokes
• 1 unit Packers +3 2.07 with TopSport
• 1 unit Mark Ingram over 5o rushing yards 1.80 with Ladbrokes
• 1 unit Mark Andrew under 4.5 1.95 receptions with Ladbrokes
• 1 unit Marquise Brown under 3.5 receptions 2.05 with Ladbrokes

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