NBA Player Performance Service: Our Expert Selections – 8/1

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - JANUARY 08: Khris Middleton #22 of the Milwaukee Bucks reacts after being called for a foul against the Golden State Warriors during the second half of an NBA basketball game at Chase Center on January 08, 2020 in San Francisco, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)

Results:

• 7.23 Units Profit
• 4% ROI
• View Results Spreadsheets

Feeling a bit better today but just going to continue through the weekend without write ups / minimal. Hopefully back to normal on Monday.

Great rates for KM w/o Jrue. Guards are so heavily depleted so expect a lot of touch time. This line should be at least 11.5 and we are getting a really nice price here. Crazy price for DD as he can get it with boards or dimes in potentially huge minutes.

Dinwiddie coming back not only effects everyone’s usage, but it shifts Beal back to the 2 which condenses all the wing minutes. Add Holiday back into the mix as well as Neto’s return last game and there is 48 pure PG mins. Kuzma has been great but absolutely everything has panned out for him lately. Also need to factor in that Gafford is going to have to play a ton so the wings will lose some minutes that way too. These lines are just both too high against a good Bulls defence with both of their minutes ceilings capped.

Still just too high for Giddey. We did have to sweat it out last game after he hit back to back 3s in the 4th qtr, but we are getting the same line here even though Dort and his 23% usage come back into the lineup. He’s only at 12pts per 36 when sharing the court with Dort and Shai.

Staking Plan – 4.95 units out

• Khris Middleton over 10.5 Rebounds + Assists @ 1.95 with B365 – 1.3 units
• Khris Middleton double double @ 11.75 with B365 – 0.2 units
• Kyle Kuzma UNDER 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.90 with Sportsbet – 1 unit
• Deni Advija UNDER 16.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.95 with B365 – 1 unit
• Josh Giddey UNDER 14.5 Points @ 1.76 with B365 – 1.25 units
• Giannis Triple Double Bucks win @ 15.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units
• Scottie Barnes over 6.5 Assists @ 8.75 with B365 – 0.1 units
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