NBA Player Performance Service: Our Expert Selections – 15/1

Mar 11, 2021; Sacramento, California, USA; Houston Rockets guard Kevin Porter Jr. (3) dunks the ball against the Sacramento Kings during the second quarter at Golden 1 Center. Mandatory Credit: Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports

Results:

• 19.92 Units Profit
• 8% ROI
• View Results Spreadsheets

Just quick notes today;

Suggs back should impact both Harris’ usage and minute ceiling. Scared of matchup as Hornets give up lots of 3s, and I suspect if he is to cover this line it’s from getting hot behind the arc. Away from home and the Hornets defence has been much much better so this could definitely blow especially with Suggs coming back who’s a proven to have a very negative impact on the team at this point.

Dennis same reasoning as last game, he was just cooking from deep which got him going. He scores a lot of points off drives but with Embiid there protecting the paint he’s going to need to rely on his jumper. It’s a really nice spot for Jaylen Brown as Thybulle will take Tatum and Philly don’t really have anybody else to guard him but ugly game environment.

Embiid has been rolling but has just had dream matchup after dream matchup. Much tougher for him today against Horford and Timelord.

Levert will be playing PG with no Brog and he averages 6.5 dimes in the games Brogdon hasn’t played. Tough matchup but love the plus money.

Cade gets a very tough matchup against the Raptors who give up the second fewest points to PGs. Nurse knows the Pistons don’t really have much other than him and Bey so he’ll likely just take them out of this and make the others beat them. Bey playing the end of that Bulls game down 30 on the b2b and 3 in 4 just takes away so much appeal for future under bets on him.

KPJ has had a run of very tough matchups but the role is still great and he should have no issues getting downhill against the Kings. It’s a huge spot for him.

With Adams back it moves JJJ back to the 4, and with Clarke playing so well lately it’s hard to see any minutes upside for Anderson. He probably starts at the 3 with Williams moving to the bench (might be the other way round) but it’s concerning he was only able to get to 22 minutes yesterday even without Adams.

Staking Plan – 7.35 units out

• Gary Harris UNDER 18.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.85 with TAB – 1 unit
• Gary Harris over 3.5 3 Pointers @ 6.50 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units
• Dennis Schroeder UNDER 14.5 Points @ 1.90 with B365 – 1 unit
• Joel Embiid UNDER 29.5 Points @ 2.00 with Topsport – 1 unit
• Caris Levert over 4.5 Assists @ 2.05 with B365 – 1 unit
• Cade Cunningham UNDER 17.5 Points @ 1.83 with B365 – 1 unit
• Kevin Porter Jr over 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.95 with B365 – 1 unit
• Kyle Anderson UNDER 9.5 Points @ 1.76 with B365 – 1.25 units
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