Miami Heat Vs New York Knicks Preview, Analytics & Staking Strategy

Miami Heat take on the New York Knicks in what looks like to be a very one-sided affair. Miami come into this game after ending Philadelphia’s unbeaten home record as underdogs on the road. New York come into this game of a dominating 23 point win at home against Atlanta.

Miami

• 3rd Eastern Conference 20-8 (11-1) HOME

New York

• 14th Eastern Conference 7-21 (3-11) ROAD 

Both teams are 3/5 from their last 5 games with Miami winning 2 as outsiders at $3.50 and $3.35. New York winning 2 as outsiders at $4.25 and $2.65. 

Line Betting

• Miami have continued to exceed the market’s expectations with a current win rate of 71.43% (5th in the league) and line cover rate of 71.43% (1st in the league)
• New York, on the other hand, have demonstrated some weaknesses thus far with a current win rate of 25% (28th in the league) and a line cover rate of 50% (15th in the league) 

Match Points Betting 

• Miami have averaged a PPG of 112.1 and allowed 107.2 with a positive differential of +4.9
• New York have averaged a PPG of 102.7 and allowed 111.5 with a negative differential of -8.8 
• Miami have scored on average 9.4 points more than New York per game.
• Miami have allowed on average 4.3 points less than New York per game. 

Percentage Match-Ups. 

Miami have won at home 91.67% of the time with only 1 loss thus far while New York have won on the road 21.43% of the time thus far. Miami have covered the (+-) Line at home 83.33% of the time thus far while New York have covered the (+-) Line on the road 57.14% of the time. Starting as a favourite Miami have won 93.33% of the games they have played whereas New York starting as underdogs have won 20.83% of the time. Starting as a favourite Miami have covered the line 73.33% of the time whereas starting as an underdog New York have covered the line 54.17% of the time. 

Betting Information 

$LINE Miami $1.17 New York $5.50 

(+-)LINE Miami -9.00 $1.91 New York +9.00 $1.91 

Verdict

Miami returns home after a dominating win against Philadelphia on the road. They put an end to their unbeaten home record in which they cemented their top 3 position in the Eastern Conference. New York hit the road after a dominating win at Madison Square Garden in which will be a difficult encounter.

Miami open Saturdays encounter as hot favourites at $1.17 against a New York squad as cold underdogs at $5.50. The line is set at -9/+9 in which will definitely test Miamis offensive strength. New York Knicks with an OPP PPG of 111.5 looks to allow a large number of points in the paint as well as beyond the arc from a Miami team filled with confidence.

Miami looks to have the -9 line covered in which may be an early decided game. New York will be in the contest and have proven themselves to cover lines when largely stacked against them although saying that if the Miami team from Philadelphia play at home on Saturday it will be one-way traffic for New York. 

Miami Heat -9.00 @ $1.91 2u/2%.

Staking 

2 units or 2% of the allocated bankroll.

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