EPL Week 33 Preview: Stats, Insights | The Sporting Base
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EPL Week 33 Preview: Stats, Insights, Tips & Everything To Know About Your Team’s Chances

April 5, 2019

EPL Week 33 Preview: Stats, Insights, Tips & Everything To Know About Your Team’s Chances

It may be a light week for EPL fans but with some potentially pivotal games in the top four race and a relegation battle, it’s sure to be an interesting week.


SOUTHAMPTON VS LIVERPOOL – SATURDAY 6 APRIL, 7:00PM, ST MARY’S STADIUM

Quite a few players on Liverpool will return to their former home ground of St Mary’s as the Reds continue their quest for a maiden Premier League title.

One of which is Virgil van Dijk who has been a rock at the back for the Reds since his arrival last January.

Jurgen Klopp will have to balance his Premier League title ambitions with his Champions League desires and manage his side’s minutes over the next fortnight with their quarter-final against Porto coming up as well.

Southampton has not scored in its last five Premier League games against Liverpool and has lost each of its last three so while Liverpool has been a bit off kilter lately, they should be able to pick up a victory here.


Did You Know?

  • Southampton are looking to win a third consecutive PL match for the first time since May 2016, when they won four in a row.
  • Liverpool are aiming to secure a fourth successive league victory over Southampton for the first time in their history.

Betting Insights:

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in nine of Southampton’s last 10 EPL home matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Southampton’s last six EPL matches as a home underdog.
  • Southampton has conceded two or more goals during the first half in four of its last six EPL matches against Liverpool.
  • Mohamed Salah has scored at least one goal in each of his last three EPL appearances against Southampton.
  • Mohamed Salah has been the last goal-scorer in each of his last two EPL appearances against Southampton.

TIP: Liverpool to nil



BOURNEMOUTH VS BURNLEY – SUNDAY 7 APRIL, 1:00PM, VITALITY STADIUM

Burnley are aiming for a second win in a row as they seek to move further away from the relegation zone, while their hosts AFC Bournemouth are looking for a first victory in three matches.


Did You Know?

  • AFC Bournemouth have only lost one of their last 18 Premier League home matches against sides starting the day below them in the table (W11 D6), with that defeat coming against Manchester United in November.
  • After losing their first four PL matches on the south coast, Burnley are unbeaten in their last five such matches, winning three and drawing two.

Betting Insights:

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score in the Second Half’ market has hit in three of Bournemouth’s last four EPL matches as a favourite against Burnley.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Burnley’s last five EPL day matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of Burnley’s last six EPL day matches.
  • Joshua King has scored at least one goal in four of Bournemouth’s last five EPL home matches.
  • Dwight McNeil has scored a goal in each of Burnley’s last two EPL matches.

TIP: BOURNEMOUTH



HUDDERSFIELD TOWN VS LEICESTER CITY – SUNDAY 7 APRIL, 1:00PM, JOHN SMITH’S STADIUM

Having equalled the record for the earliest relegation from the Premier League last weekend, Huddersfield Town will be playing for little more than pride when Leicester City visits the John Smith’s Stadium.

For the Foxes there will be more on the line, as they look to continue their quest to be the best of the rest. Leicester currently sits three points in arrears of seventh-placed Wolverhampton, despite winning four of its last five EPL matches.

The most recent of those wins came against Bournemouth at the King Power, as goals from Wes Morgan and Jamie Vardy led Leicester to a 2-0 victory. The Foxes came out on top by the same margin when they hosted Huddersfield in September, during which Vardy also scored alongside James Maddison and Kelechi Iheanacho.


Did You Know?

  • Huddersfield are looking for their first league win over Leicester in 11 matches, since a 3-1 victory in the second tier in November 1995.
  • The Foxes can secure a fourth straight PL victory for the first time since December 2017, when Claude Puel was in charge.

Betting Insights:

  • Huddersfield has lost each of its last eight EPL day matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Leicester’s last seven EPL matches as a favourite.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Leicester’s last five EPL away matches.
  • Jamie Vardy has been the last goal-scorer in each of his last two EPL appearances against Huddersfield.
  • Wes Morgan has scored a goal in three of his last four EPL appearances.

TIP: Leicester



NEWCASTLE VS CRYSTAL PALACE – SUNDAY 7 APRIL, 1:00PM, ST JAMES’ PARK

Newcastle United have a chance to leapfrog Crystal Palace, starting the weekend just one place and one point behind their visitors.

Both sides are aiming to bounce back from a defeat in their last outing.


Did You Know?

  • Newcastle can secure a sixth successive PL home win for the first time since April 2004.
  • Palace have alternated between victory and defeat in their last six PL matches, and lost to Spurs last time out on Wednesday.

Betting Insights:

  • Newcastle United has won each of its last five EPL home matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in nine of Newcastle United’s last 10 EPL matches as a home favourite.
  • Newcastle United has kept a clean sheet in four of its last five EPL matches as a favourite.
  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Newcastle United’s last eight EPL matches.
  • Salomon Rondon has scored a goal in three of Newcastle’s last four EPL home matches.

TIP: Newcastle



EVERTON VS ARSENAL – SUNDAY 7 APRIL, 12:05PM, GOODISON PARK

Since Arsenal lost to Manchester City in early February, they have not been beaten in the Premier League which has helped the Gunners climb into the top four and could secure third place with a win here.

What has helped that run is a number of games at home which has helped mask their poor away form, something that Unai Emery has improved on, but not solved completely.

In their last eight away games in the Premier League, Arsenal has just one win and three draws, although trips to Manchester United, Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham would trip just about any side up.

Thankfully for the Gunners, Everton has not been an overly tough opponent with wins in seven of the last eight in the Premier League, including a 5-2 win at Goodison last season.


Did You Know?

  • Everton have won their last two Premier League matches 2-0. They last won three in a row without conceding back in January 2017 under Ronald Koeman.
  • Arsenal have scored more PL goals against Everton than any side have against another in the competition’s history, with 107.

Betting Insights:

  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is favourite to be the first goal scorer and looks value at $5
  • Clashes at Goodison Park average a total of 2 goals.

TIP: Arsenal



CHELSEA VS WEST HAM – TUESDAY 9 APRIL, 6:00PM, STAMFORD BRIDGE

Chelsea is the only team backing up from midweek duty in the Premier League this weekend and they have plenty of rest between their clash with Brighton and a visit from West Ham.

Even so, there might not be a full strength squad deployed for Chelsea with a Europa League tie against Slavia Prague on Friday morning (AEST).

You only have to look at their game against Cardiff last weekend to see the dangers of not going all out and by not going all out, we mean not playing Eden Hazard.

West Ham is very up and down and if you follow the Irons recent form, they are due for an up game.


Did You Know?

  • Both teams average over 2 total match goals.

Betting Insights:

  • Clashes at Stamford Bridge average a total of 3 goals.
  • Chelsea have a 78.6% win record after leading at halftime.

TIP: Chelsea


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