Cox Plate: Every Runner Breakdown, Tips, and Predicted Finishing Order
October 23, 2025
Get ready for the 2025 Cox Plate with our complete runner-by-runner breakdown, expert tips, and predicted finishing order. We analyse every contender’s form, map, and key chances to help you find the winner in Australia’s premier weight-for-age race at Moonee Valley.
1. Light Infantry Man — 59kg — Handy/leader’s back
Why he can win
A seasoned international with proven Group 1 form who’s fit and ready after solid runs in Sydney. He maps to get a good spot behind the pace and can grind home strongly if the leaders tire.
Why he can’t win
He hasn’t quite shown his old brilliance this campaign, and his 2000 m runs suggest he might struggle to match the finishing burst of the local stars.
Predicted finish: 7th – Bet Here
2. Antino — 59kg — Handy/midfield
Why he can win
A model of consistency who’s building beautifully through the prep. His Turnbull run was enormous, working wide and still finding late. Shinn has a superb understanding of him and from gate 6, he’ll get a soft run just off the speed. If the tempo is genuine, he’ll be right there at the finish.
Why he can’t win
He can lose momentum if forced wide and exposed early, and if it becomes a dash home, others may quicken faster.
Predicted finish: Top 3
3. Attrition — 59kg — Pos 3/4
Why he can win
Tough, reliable, and maps perfectly to sit just behind the speed. He keeps putting himself in the race and fighting to the line. If the leaders overdo it, he’s the one who can sneak into the placings.
Why he can’t win
He tends to level out late against the top tier and might simply be outclassed if the big guns produce their best.
Predicted finish: 6th
4. Buckaroo — 59kg — Midfield (rails)
Why he can win
He’s an honest, high-class galloper who stays all day and never runs a bad race. His Caulfield form reads strongly, and from the inside draw he’ll get every chance to conserve energy and hit the line hard.
Why he can’t win
He’s more of a grinder than a sprinter, so if the leaders stack them up and sprint, he might not be able to reel them in.
Predicted finish: 5th
5. Via Sistina — 57kg — Midfield/one-off
Why she can win
She’s a genuine superstar, the proven Group 1 performer who keeps producing. Her record at 2000 m is outstanding, and she’s right at her peak after an excellent Turnbull third. McDonald knows exactly when to push the button, and from gate 5 she’ll get the perfect trail before letting rip late.
Why she can’t win
If they crawl early and dash home in one burst, she may be left searching for momentum at the top of the straight. Otherwise, it’s hard to fault her.
Predicted finish: Win chance
6. Treasurethe Moment — 55.5kg — Box-seat/handy
Why she can win
She’s a champion mare who just keeps turning up. Her 2000 m form is first-rate, she maps ideally behind the leaders, and Damian Lane will have her in striking range the whole way. The draw means she’ll spend no fuel and can take the shortest way home.
Why she can’t win
She’s at her best in strong-tempo races; if they slacken midrace, she might be out-sprinted by one with a sharper turn of foot.
Predicted finish: Win chance
7. Aeliana — 55.5kg — Mid/back (one-off)
Why she can win
A rapidly improving mare who’s taken on the best and held her own. Her runs in the Winx Stakes and Makybe Diva were top-shelf, and Bowman sticks with her. She’s adaptable and will be charging late if the race sets up for backmarkers.
Why she can’t
If they steady up midrace or she’s caught wide without cover, she’ll have to do too much work before the turn. Needs a smooth run and clear air early in the straight.
Predicted finish: Top 4
8. Nepotism — 49.5kg — Mid/back (rails)
Why he can win
The lightweight three-year-old who could surprise. With a big weight pull and a soft draw, he can tuck in, follow the right horse, and run on late if gaps appear.
Why he can’t win
Still learning, still unproven at the distance, and faces a field of hardened WFA horses — a tough assignment at this stage of his career.
Predicted finish: Rest
Predicted finishing order
- Via Sistina
- Treasurethe Moment
- Antino
- Aeliana
- Buckaroo
- Attrition
- Light Infantry Man
- Nepotism
Best Bet: Via Sistina
Value: Antino / Aeliana (each-way, exotics)
October 23, 2025
Spring Champion: Every Runner Breakdown, Tips, and Predicted Finishing Order
Your cheat sheet to the 2025 Spring Champion Stakes — a full runner-by-runner breakdown, tips, and predicted finishing order for Randwick’s big 2000m test From budding stars to bold Read MoreOctober 23, 2025
Trial Review: Horses That Caught The Eye At The Trials This Week 23/10
Check out the runners from Monday's barrier trials at Randwick that looks ready to win when they hit the track next An Epsom runner up from the Waterhouse/Bott yard caught the eye and an unraced Read MoreOctober 22, 2025
Black Book: Horses You Must Back Next Start From Warwick Farm 22/10
The replays and sectional times have been analysed from Wednesday's Warwick Farm meeting We've picked out a trio of runners that either look ready to break through in midweek grade or are ready to Read More
Tell Us What You Think Below