The official team lists are in for Broncos vs Storm, with Brisbane sticking solid after their comeback win over Canberra while Jahrome Hughes returns at halfback for Melbourne. Hughes’ comeback and Jack Howarth’s absence create some particularly interesting try-scorer and player-prop opportunities.
Biggest Winners – Broncos
Hayze Perham
Perham keeps the No.1 jersey after impressing against Canberra and should again get plenty of opportunities through kick returns and support play.
Our Tip: Hayze Perham – Over Run Metres
Kotoni Staggs
Brisbane retain the same backline, with Staggs outside the Hunt-Mam halves combination. Melbourne’s change at centre gives him an interesting matchup against Tyran Wishart.
Our Tip: Kotoni Staggs – Anytime Try Scorer
Ben Hunt
Hunt remains at halfback after Brisbane’s comeback victory over Canberra, giving the Broncos some much-needed continuity in their spine.
Our Tip: Ben Hunt – 1+ Try Assist
Biggest Losers – Broncos
Broncos Right-Edge Defence
Hughes’ return dramatically strengthens Melbourne’s attack and reunites him with Cameron Munster and Harry Grant in the spine.
Our Tip: Nick Meaney – Anytime Try Scorer
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Brisbane’s Middle
Payne Haas, Xavier Willison and Patrick Carrigan face a Storm middle featuring Stefano Utoikamanu, Josh King and Trent Loiero, with Harry Grant probing from dummy-half.
Our Tip: Harry Grant – Anytime Try Scorer
Brisbane’s Recent Home Record
The Broncos have lost their past eight matches at Suncorp Stadium, despite winning their past three games against Melbourne.
Our Tip: Storm – Head-to-Head
Biggest Winners – Storm
Jahrome Hughes
Hughes returns after three games out with a hamstring injury, immediately restoring Melbourne’s first-choice halves combination with Munster.
Our Tip: Jahrome Hughes – 1+ Try Assist
Harry Grant
Grant has an outstanding recent scoring record in this matchup, crossing four times in his past four games against Brisbane. Getting Hughes back also strengthens the attack around him.
Our Tip: Harry Grant – Anytime Try Scorer
Nick Meaney
Wishart’s move into the centres changes Melbourne’s edge combinations, but Meaney remains in his regular centre position with Munster and Hughes back together inside the Storm attack.
Our Tip: Nick Meaney – Anytime Try Scorer
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Biggest Losers – Storm
Jack Howarth
Howarth has been stood down for the rest of the season to undergo surgery on a previous shoulder injury, forcing Wishart into the centres.
Betting Impact: Wishart becomes the more interesting player to assess in the try market, but his positional switch also creates a matchup Brisbane could target.
Tyran Wishart
Hughes’ return pushes Wishart out of the No.7 jersey and into the centres, significantly changing his role after starting at halfback last week.
Our Tip: Avoid Wishart’s playmaking props
Storm Edge Defence
Staggs and Deine Mariner give Brisbane genuine power in the centres, and Wishart now has to defend in a different position.
Our Tip: Kotoni Staggs – Anytime Try Scorer
Early Betting Verdict
The standout team-list development is Jahrome Hughes returning to reunite with Cameron Munster and Harry Grant. That makes Melbourne’s attacking markets much more appealing, particularly against a Brisbane side that has conceded 140 points across its past four matches.
Harry Grant – Anytime Try Scorer
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Nick Meaney – Anytime Try Scorer
Hughes’ return should improve the quality of ball Melbourne’s edges receive, and Meaney gives us a more traditional outside-back option.
Our Tip: Nick Meaney – Anytime Try Scorer
Kotoni Staggs – Anytime Try Scorer
Wishart shifting from halfback into the centres creates a matchup Brisbane may deliberately target with the powerful Staggs.
Our Tip: Kotoni Staggs – Anytime Try Scorer
Jahrome Hughes – Try Assists
Hughes goes straight back into the No.7 jersey after three matches out and should immediately resume a major creative role.
Our Tip: Jahrome Hughes – 1+ Try Assist
Payne Haas – Run Metres
Brisbane need to win the middle to give Hunt and Mam enough attacking football, which should ensure another substantial workload for Haas.
Our Tip: Payne Haas – Over Run Metres
Harry Grant – 2+ Tries
This is the higher-priced extension of the Grant angle. Four tries from his past four against Brisbane makes his multi-try market worth checking rather than limiting ourselves to anytime.
Our Tip: Harry Grant – 2+ Tries
Best Bet From The Team Lists
Harry Grant – Anytime Try Scorer
This is the market I like most from the team sheets. Grant has scored four tries in his past four games against Brisbane, Hughes returns to strengthen Melbourne’s spine, and the Broncos have conceded 140 points across their past four matches.
Our Tip: Harry Grant – Anytime Try Scorer
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Value Bet
Kotoni Staggs – Anytime Try Scorer
This one comes directly from the team change. Hughes’ return moves Tyran Wishart from halfback into the centres to replace the injured Howarth.
Staggs is exactly the type of powerful centre Brisbane can send at a reshuffled edge, making his anytime price one I’d be interested in if Sportsbet or TAB offer enough value.
Our Tip: Kotoni Staggs – Anytime Try Scorer
Team List Betting Summary
Best Bet: Harry Grant – Anytime Try Scorer
Value Bet: Kotoni Staggs – Anytime Try Scorer
Other Storm Try Scorer: Nick Meaney – Anytime Try Scorer
Higher-Odds Play: Harry Grant – 2+ Tries
Storm Playmaker Prop: Jahrome Hughes – 1+ Try Assist
Broncos Playmaker Prop: Ben Hunt – 1+ Try Assist
Forward Prop: Payne Haas – Over Run Metres
Fullback Prop: Hayze Perham – Over Run Metres