R5: Storm Vs Broncos – Our Bets

The Broncos head to Melbourne where they don’t have the best record against the Storm but we know we’ve found some nice bets to follow.

The odds & markets for this game are found on PlayUp and you can bet with them or view the markets by clicking here

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Melbourne Storm Vs Brisbane Broncos – Thursday 8:00pm AEDT

The Storm will be buoyed by the return of Cameron Munster and the market shows that with the Storm starting favourites in front of their home fans.

We have placed some betting insights and our bets for the game below.

Interesting Betting Insights

• The Brisbane Broncos won 26-0 in their last NRL game against the Melbourne Storm after losing 14 straight games against them prior to that win; indeed, they haven’t won back-to-back games against the Storm since Round 4, 2004.
• The Melbourne Storm have won their last seven straight games against the Brisbane Broncos at AAMI Park by an average margin of 16 points per game; though, the teams have been level at half-time in each of their last two meetings at the venue.
• The Melbourne Storm have won their last 11 consecutive NRL games at AAMI Park; though, their last three wins at the venue have each come by a margin of eight points or fewer on the day.
• Each of the Brisbane Broncos’ last seven NRL games have been won by the home team on the day with the Broncos losing each of their last three games on the road.
• The Melbourne Storm have had just 16.7 play-the-balls in the opposition 20m zone per game this NRL season, the fewest of any team in the competition; they have scored one try for every 10 play-the-balls in that zone.
• The Brisbane Broncos have scored five tries on possession begun with a scrum in the 2024 NRL season – the most of any team in the competition – while the Melbourne Storm have scored only one try via this method.
• The Melbourne Storm have completed just 83 of their 115 sets this NRL season for a completion rate of 72% – the lowest of any team and five percentage points lower than the Brisbane Broncos (77%).
• Cameron Munster (Melbourne Storm) has scored one try in four of his last five NRL games against the Brisbane Broncos as well as making one try assist in that term.
• Selwyn Cobbo (Brisbane Broncos) is currently on a six-game stretch without a try in the NRL, the joint-longest of his career in the competition (also his first six games in 2022).
• Adam Reynolds (Brisbane Broncos) has scored 20 points from goal kicks in the 2024 NRL season, 4.1 fewer than the Opta Kick Predictor forecast he should’ve scored from his attempts; no player has trailed their expected output by more than Reynolds this campaign.

Our Bets

• $100 Storm -6.5 @ $1.90 – Bet Here
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