Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 3/5

Results:

• 89.16 Units Profit
• 16.75% ROI

• View Results Spreadsheets

76ers vs Spurs 10:10am AEST

Not sure why we are getting such a big drop from his season average of 29.2 He is as dominant as he has been all season but just hasn’t played above 25 minutes in his last 3 games due to big blowouts. Philly haven’t been as good away from home and Spurs should be able to at least get this one into the 4th quarter.

• Joel Embiid over 25.5 Points @ 1.85 with Topsport – 1 unit

Ugh well there goes the theory of this bet. Bit lucky we get a chance to essentially cash it out at a little loss.

• Joel Embiid UNDER 25.5 Points @ 1.88 with Topsport – 1 unit

Thunder vs Suns 10:10am AEST

Got super unlucky last game with him but more than happy to come back to him here as the same theory goes with his big usage drop with Dort in (have to assume he’s back here as the recent pattern has had him sitting first night of b2bs). He has been deadset awful on b2b’s this season with a 45.9% eFG good for 13th percentile. Brutal matchup here against the Suns.

• Theo Maledon UNDER 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.86 with Sportsbet – 1.5 units

Still think this is just the wrong odds for him in the role he’s in despite the bad matchup. Was shockingly quiet first half in his last start, which is actually where he had been busiest over the last few weeks so I would expect him to come out aggressive, as the rest of the team are on a b2b.

• Lu Dort over 24.5 Points @ 6.50 with Sportsbet – 0.2 units

Staking Plan – 3.7 units out

• Joel Embiid over 25.5 Points @ 1.85 with Topsport – 1 unit
• Joel Embiid UNDER 25.5 Points @ 1.88 with Topsport – 1 unit
• Theo Maledon UNDER 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.86 with Sportsbet – 1.5 units
• Lu Dort over 24.5 Points @ 6.50 with Sportsbet – 0.2 units
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