Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 3/1

Sat 2 Jan 2021, 11:11am AEDT - Sportingbase

Season Results:

26 Wins / 47 Losses
6.03 Units Profit
+13.77% ROI

Kings vs Rockets 9:10am AEST

He’s always been a strong per minute guy, and that has continued this season with a 17.2/12.1/1.8 per 36 line. He didn’t get above 24 minutes through the Kings first 3 games but has now had a couple in a row over 32, including a season high 35 in their matchup against the Rockets a couple of days ago. He had his best game of the season with 22/13/2. They look a much better team when he’s out here, and the numbers back that up with a team high +12.5 on/off net rating differential. Think he should be in line for 30+ again here, but he does have a fairly high foul rate at 5.4 per 36 so there is a tiny bit of risk. Rockets have given away the 6^th most points and 5^th most rebounds to centres on the season.

Richaun Holmes over 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.92 with Topsport – 1.2 units
Richaun Holmes over 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 5.00 with TAB – 0.2 units
Richaun Holmes over 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 13.00 with TAB – 0.1 units

Knicks vs Pacers 11:10am AEST

Was keen to have a big bet here if everyone was ruled out again, as he has been a big beneficiary playing 40,38 mins his last two games. Still a strong bet with just Quickley coming back in as they are so thin on the wings and are in desperate need of his shooting so he should stay in the mid 30’s. He’s had a 17.4% usage over his last 2, and taken 9 3’s in both games. He’s getting some good looks, with 10 of those 18 attempts being wide open, and another 7 of them coming while he’s open. He’s a career 38.3% 3 point shooter and I think he can bounce back here against the Pacers who are 29th in opponent 3 point % at 43.0% for the season. Only have to go 2 games back where he hit 5 3 pointers en route to a 17/7 line.

Reggie Bullock over 1.5 3 pointers @ 1.95 with Ladbrokes – 1.3 units
Reggie Bullock over 2.5 3 pointers @ 3.60 with Ladbrokes – 0.3 units

Staking Plan – 3.1 units out.

Richaun Holmes over 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.92 with Topsport – 1.2 units
Richaun Holmes over 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 5.00 with TAB – 0.2 units
Richaun Holmes over 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 13.00 with TAB – 0.1 units
Reggie Bullock over 1.5 3 pointers @ 1.95 with Ladbrokes – 1.3 units
Reggie Bullock over 2.5 3 pointers @ 3.60 with Ladbrokes – 0.3 units
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