Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 21/9

Season Results:

• 375 Wins / 254 Losses
• +113.10 Units Of Profit
• 17.06% ROI

Lakers vs Nuggets 9:30am AEST

Nuggets just have no answer for him as it stands. He torched Millsap during the regular season – defended him ok in G1.  I’m not sure what adjustments there are to make for now but you can be pretty sure he won’t be getting to the line 15 times in this one. I don’t think he’ll need to though as he crushed this line with 37/4 in just 32 minutes. He has struggled putting together back to back games in the playoffs but with two of the games best passers on his team it really does make it simple for him. Dimes have been consistent through the playoffs and he has shown some upside. Always plays the full first quarter and had 14 in the first in G1 so these prices are worth a play again here.

• Davis over 30.5 Points + Assists @ 1.80 with B365 – 1 unit
• Davis over 11.5 1st Quarter Points @ 5.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units
• Davis over 12.5 1st Quarter Points @ 7.50 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units

Got us on the board in G1 and although he’s not getting massive volume, he is scorching hot with his catch and shoot eFG% sitting at 72.0 in the playoffs. It looks like Lakers have finally settled on their back-court rotations and after I was a little worried Rondo playing so well (need to take a big L here) would cut into his minutes, it seems it’s more Danny green losing out with KCP playing 30 in G1 and Danny down at 23.

• KCP over 1.5 3 Pointers @ 2.00 with B365 – 1 unit

Lakers are really rolling right now but almost everything went against Denver in game 1, expect them to hit some shots and to be much better here. Harris 10+ Pts and Jokic 23+ Pts are both fine options on their side. 

Staking Plan

• Davis over 30.5 Points + Assists @ 1.80 with B365 – 1 unit
• Davis over 11.5 1st Quarter Points @ 5.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units
• Davis over 12.5 1st Quarter Points @ 7.50 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units
• KCP over 1.5 3 Pointers @ 2.00 with B365 – 1 unit
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