Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 20/1

Oct 27, 2019; Oklahoma City, OK, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder forward Mike Muscala (33) dunks in front of Golden State Warriors guard Jordan Poole (3) during the second half at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Oklahoma City won 120-92. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports

Season Results:

• 80 Wins / 121 Losses
• 24.44 Units Profit
• +20.13% ROI
• View Results Spreadsheets

OKC vs Nuggets 1:10pm AEST

I wish I had a bit more conviction about how this front-court rotation is going to shake out, but I’m pretty keen to target Muscala here. Roby will be starting, but he hasn’t really been a big minute guy when Horford has sat and he has a nightmare matchup today against Jokic which makes him very hard to back with any confidence. His line’s are low, and he should be covering them but a bit too much risk involved there. Happy to pivot to Muscala who’s quietly having a nice season in limited playing time, averaging 0.7 PR per minute. I have the centre minutes projected at Roby 26 and Muscala 22, but a clear path for more Muscala if Roby gets in any foul trouble. 22 minutes at 0.7 PR would have him at 15.4 which is giving us a massive edge. We have also seen 42 minutes of Muscala/Roby overlap this season and they might need the extra size against the big Denver front-court so that could be another path to minutes for him.

• Mike Muscala over 11.5 Points + Rebounds @ 1.83 with B365 – 1.2 units

***Those who don’t have B365 take over 12.5 PRA elsewhere

Staking Plan – 1.2 units out

• Mike Muscala over 11.5 Points + Rebounds @ 1.83 with B365 – 1.2 units
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