Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 14/9

Season Results:

• 356 Wins / 239 Losses
• +106.36 Units Of Profit
• 17.14% ROI

Clippers vs Nuggets 3:00am AEST

Harrell has obviously earned himself a lot of trust from his great regular season, but there has to be a point where Doc stops playing him so much as he is costing them games. He has been awful in the playoffs and has a team worst -25.7 On/Off net rating (2^nd worst Green -16.2) along with a team worst 114.9 defensive rating. Jokic has lit him up and has a 78.6 eFG% against Harrell’s defence (14 shots) but dramatically worse against Zubac with a 53.0 eFG% (49 shots). Although I expect Harrell’s game time to take another hit here (21,18,15) I think Zubac tops out around 32 minutes, but that is more than enough time to cover this line. Covered this in last 2 and is averaging 10.4 boards per 36 in this series. I don’t at all mind the under on Harrell points here, but there’s a few paths to him getting there as you can be certain he will play any garbage time if there is any.

• Zubac over 7.5 rebounds @ 1.80 with TAB – 1 unit

More than happy to go again here. His totals for the last 4 games now read 18,20,20,13. We were a bit unlucky not to cash in the most recent game, as he finished with just 4 assists from 15! potentials with lots of these being wide open looks. Should see 40 minutes here.

• Kawhi over 13.5 Rebounds + Assists @ 1.74 – 1.25 units

Fully expect Clippers to close this out here. 

Staking Plan

• Zubac over 7.5 rebounds @ 1.80 with TAB – 1 unit
• Kawhi over 13.5 Rebounds + Assists @ 1.74 – 1.25 units
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