Our Professional NBA Tips, Analysis & Staking Plan 13/5

Results:

• 89.16 Units Profit
• 16.75% ROI

• View Results Spreadsheets

Bulls vs Raptors 10:10am AEST

With the Bulls owning the tie-break over the Wizards their season is still alive. They need to go 3-0 and have the Wizards go 0-2 which is extremely unlikely but as long as they have some hope expect them to be playing usual minutes. Had a quiet game against the Hornets in his return but has since gone 25,30 and 41 in his last game with a 35.9% usage and looks like he’s found his rhythm again. Good matchup against the Raptors and their 20th ranked defence over the last 2 weeks.

• Zach Lavine over 25.5 Points @ 1.91 with Sportsbet – 1 unit

Kings vs Grizzlies 10:10am AEST

Looked like this was going to be a horror beat last time out as he missed a few super easy buckets around the rim and started the game 0-4 from 3 against OKC but had a nice second half the cruise past the line. Not as nice a matchup here but the role remains awesome and with the way the Kings offence is currently operating with all the ball movement he’s getting a ton of touches and will get his chances to produce. Over the last 3 games he’s averaging 15.0/4.6/3.3 with a nice bump in the advanced metrics too. He’s at 1.6 minutes of touch time (up from 0.9), 21.7 front court touches (up from 14.7), 41 touches (up from 27.1), 5.3 drives (up from 2.3), and has a nice 18.0% usage rate (up from 12.6%). He’s doing a lot more than just being a catch and shoot guy as he has was previously. Should be set for big minutes as the Kings playoff hopes remain alive (just).

• Moe Harkless over 15.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.90 with Topsport – 1.1 units
• Moe Harkless over 24.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 8.00 with TAB – 0.2 units

If things go sour for the Kings which is a possibility Davis will be there to capitalise in garbage time and he is balling right now. We bet him a few times earlier in the season and I mentioned I have a decent opinion of him so it’s been nice to see him string some good games together as consistency has always been hard for him. This Kings offence just continues to hum along despite the injuries and Davis is a big part of that averaging 23.0/4.0/3.7. Leads the team in usage over the L3 at 25.0%.

• Terrence Davis over 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.90 with Topsport – 0.8 units
• Terrence Davis over 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 4.75 with TAB – 0.2 units

*Already pretty exposed on the Kings side here but Buddy’s assist line at 4.5 looks a decent bet too. Averaging 6.3 L3 with 10.0 potentials and close to 5 minutes of touch time.

Magic vs Hawks 9:40am AEST

Was balling when he first got to Orlando, but then the emergence of Bamba really started cutting into him and it became an ugly time share situation. With Bamba out today it clears the path to extended minutes and it was great to see him play 30 last game against the Bucks finishing with 8/14/4. He’s at 0.86 PRA per minute since joining the Magic and should see 30 at minimum here which puts him at 25.5 for a nice edge, with more minute upside.

• Wendell Carter Jr over 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.87 with Topsport – 1.2 units

Staking Plan – 4.5 units out

• Zach Lavine over 25.5 Points @ 1.91 with Sportsbet – 1 unit
• Moe Harkless over 15.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.90 with Topsport – 1.1 units
• Moe Harkless over 24.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 8.00 with TAB – 0.2 units
• Terrence Davis over 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.90 with Topsport – 0.8 units
• Terrence Davis over 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 4.75 with TAB – 0.2 units
• Wendell Carter Jr over 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.87 with Topsport – 1.2 units

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