NRL Round 21: Game By Game Insights & Selections
July 20, 2023
We’ve analysed every game and placed our insights and selections for every game in one post below.
You will be able to find our updated game-by-game NRL best bets videos in our YouTube channel.
DRAGONS VS TIGERS – THURSDAY 20 July, 7:50PM, WIN STADIUM
Betting Insights
- The Dragons have won five of their past seven games against Wests Tigers.
- Wests Tigers have been outscored 144-30 in their past three games.
- Dragons winger Mikaele Ravalawa has scored seven tries in his past five games.
- Each of St. George Illawarra’s last five matches have gone OVER the total match points line.
Our Bets
- 2 units ($200) Tigers +4.5 @ $1.90 With TopSport
- 1 unit ($100) Under 44.5 Match Points @ $1.88 With TopSport
WARRIORS VS RAIDERS – FRIDAY 21 July, 6:00PM, MT. SMART STADIUM
Both teams look to be heading towards a top eight finish and could take a leap towards the top four with a win here.
The Warriors spoiled Jarrod Croker’s 300th party only six weeks ago and coming off a bye it will be fresh in the mind of the Raiders, who have won their last three matches since going down in the nation’s capital.
Betting Insights
- Warriors winger Dallin Watene-Zelezniak has scored 13 tries in his past eight games.
- The Raiders have won six consecutive away games.
- Four of New Zealand’s last five matches have gone OVER the total match points line.
- Matt Timoko has scored at least one try in each of Canberra’s last three matches.
Our Bets
- 3 units ($300) Warriors -6.5 @ $1.90 With TopSport
- 2 units ($200) Over 42.5 @ $1.93 With TopSport
RABBITOHS VS BRONCOS – FRIDAY 21 July, 8:00PM, SUNSHINE COAST STADIUM
The Rabbitohs will be boosted by the return of Latrell Mitchell while the Broncos will also have Reece Walsh return to fullback.
Both these sides met earlier in the season with the Bunnies handing the Broncos a reality check on home turf with a 32-6 thumping at Suncorp Stadium.
Betting Insights
- The Rabbitohs have won four from four at Sunshine Coast Stadium.
- The Broncos have won eight from nine away from home in 2023.
- Rabbitohs centre Campbell Graham has scored six tries in his past five games against the Broncos.
- Broncos winger Selwyn Cobbo has scored five tries in his past four games.
- Seven of Brisbane’s last nine night matches have gone UNDER the total match points line.
Our Bets
- 2 units ($200) Rabbitohs -4.5 @ $1.90 With TopSport
TITANS VS ROOSTERS – SATURDAY 22 July, 5:30PM, CBUS SUPER STADIUM
Both sides sit on 20 competition points with seven games to play and the loser of Saturday afternoon’s clash on the Gold Coast faces a monumental task to try and make the eight.
The Titans are ahead of the Roosters only on points difference after suffering another agonisingly close defeat on the weekend. They fell short 25-24 to the Eels just a week after succumbing to the Dolphins courtesy of a penalty goal in golden point.
Betting Insights
- The Titans have not beaten the Roosters at Cbus Super Stadium since 2016.
- The Roosters have won their past nine games against the Titans.
- Four of Sydney’s last five matches have gone UNDER the total match points line.
- Daniel Tupou has scored at least one try in each of his last four appearances against Gold Coast.
Our Bets
- 2 units ($200) Under 46.5 Match Points @ $1.87 With TopSport
KNIGHTS VS STORM – SATURDAY 22 July, 5:30PM, MCDONALD JONES STADIUM
The Storm find themselves inside the top four on the back of a dominant win over the Roosters, with Origin stars Harry Grant and Cameron Munster backing up in style to lead Bellamy’s side to their 11th win of the season.
With Kalyn Ponga and Bradman Best are in fine form, the Knights have climbed from 14th to 10th across the past month and will fancy their chances of an upset at home.
Betting Insights
- The Knights have won five of their past seven games at McDonald Jones Stadium.
- The Storm have won their past 11 games against the Knights.
- Knights winger Dominic Young has scored 16 tries in his past 13 games.
- Storm winger Xavier Coates has scored eight tries in his past five games.
- Knights star Kalyn Ponga has lost all seven career games against the Storm.
- Each of the last four matches between Newcastle and Melbourne have gone OVER the total match points line.
Our Bets
- 2 units ($200) Storm -8.5 @ $1.90 With TopSport
- 1 unit ($100) Over 45.5 @ $1.87 With TopSport
COWBOYS VS EELS – SATURDAY 22 July, 7:35PM, QLD COUNTRY BANK STADIUM
This is promising to be the game of the round with two heavyweights doing battle as we head towards the finals.
The Cowboys have won five on the trot to put themselves right back in finals contention while the Eels have won six of their past seven to climb to seventh on the ladder.
Betting Insights
- The Cowboys have won their past five games at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
- The Eels have won four of their past five games against the Cowboys.
- Cowboys fullback Scott Drinkwater has scored five tries in his past four games.
- Eels fullback Clint Gutherson has scored seven tries in his past four games.
Our Bets
- 2 units ($200) Cowboys -7.5 @ $1.95 With TopSport
PANTHERS VS BULLDOGS – SUNDAY 23 July, 2:00PM, BLUEBET STADIUM
The Panthers showed off their incredible depth during the Origin period and with Cleary back to steer the ship they are in the box seat to become the first team since Parramatta in 1981-82-83 to claim three premierships on the trot.
Sitting one game clear of the Dragons and two clear of Wests Tigers, the Bulldogs have plenty of motivation to pull out their best footy and avoid a second wooden spoon in three years.
Betting Insights
- The Panthers have won their past five games against the Bulldogs by 12 points or more.
- The Bulldogs have conceded more points in their past five games than Penrith have for the season.
- The Panthers have won 32 of their past 35 games at BlueBet Stadium
- Bulldogs prop Tevita Pangai Jnr has scored four tries in his past four games against the Panthers.
Our Bets
- 2 units ($200) Panthers -28.5 @ $1.90 With TopSport
SHARKS VS SEA EAGLES – SUNDAY 23 July, 4:05PM, COMMBANK STADIUM
Both Cronulla and the Sea Eagles will be looking to bounce back this week after suffering disappointing losses in their last round matches.
Betting Insights
- The Sharks have won four of their past five games against the Sea Eagles.
- The Sea Eagles have won only two from seven away from home in 2023.
- The Sharks have won nine from 10 against teams currently sitting outside the top eight.
- Each of Manly’s last four matches have gone UNDER the total match points line.
Our Bets
- 2 units ($200) Sea Eagles +8.5 @ $1.90 With TopSport
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