NBA Player Performance Service: Our Expert Selections – 23/4

Results:

• 66.18 Units Profit
• 14% ROI
• View Results Spreadsheets

He’s just straight up looked bad this series only averaging 8.5 PRA per game in about 20 minutes. I’d expect Collins to get into the 30s here (29 last game), likely up to 35 in a must win game which doesn’t leave many minutes for Okongwu. The emergence of Delon gives them a plethora of wing options so I doubt we see any OO/Collins overlap against the small Miami team. Honestly wouldn’t be surprised to see him get cut from the second half rotation with Gallo playing backup C. Quite like JC 15+ Points as well.

Huge adjustments for the Hawks offence from G1 to G2 with Trae getting the ball later in the possession making it harder for the doubles. Reflected in the tracking stats with Trae having 39 front court touches vs 17 in G1 (it doesn’t count as a front court touch for the player bringing the ball over half court). This is clearly going to benefit the other Hawks with more touches and in this case assist opportunities to Trae (as well as others). Trae was assisted on 4 of his 10 made field goals (3 by Huerter), which at 40% is a huge jump from the 16.9% he was assisted on during the season. Huerter ended up with 14 potentials in the game.

Bit hesitant to play a unit here but strong leans on Lopez u15.5 Pts and Portis o10.5 Pts. Although Brook has been good offensively this series Bobby is a much more versatile offensive player. They have just an 81 O Rating in the half court so without Middleton am thinking he might get extended run here (cutting into Lopez)

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Staking Plan – 2.5 units out

• Onyeka Okongwu UNDER 11.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists @ 1.90 with B365 – 1 unit
• Kevin Huerter over 2.5 Assists @ 1.83 with B365 – 1 unit
• Kevin Huerter over 4.5 Assists @ 6.75 with B365 – 0.2 units
• Kevin Huerter over 6.5 Assists @ 19.00 with B365 – 0.1 units
• Brook Lopez UNDER 11.5 Points / Bobby Portis over 15.5 Points @ 19.00 with B365 – 0.1 units
• Bobby Portis over 19.5 Points @ 12.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units
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