NBA: Celtics Vs Kings Preview, Analytics & Strategy

Our analysts have crunched the numbers to give you a full preview of the Celtics Vs Kings matchup including stats on match points, line markets, suggested strategy & more.

Boston 1st East Conference

(10-1) (5-1) Road

Sacramento 13th West Conference

(4-7) (2-3) Home 

The Boston Celtics hit the road as the Number 1 team in the eastern conference unbeaten at home and( 5-1) on the road facing a Sacramento Kings team struggling to find a consistent patch thus (4-7) (2-3) at home. The Boston Celtics have reached the top of the east conference facing their only loss thus far to Philadelphia in their opening game. With an average point differential of 8.8 from all games played ranked 3rd highest in the league and 2nd highest in the conference. From the 6 road games played this has resulted in an overall point differential of +61. 

The Sacramento Kings started the season 0-5 before stringing together back to back wins against Utah and New York as well as Atlanta and Portland. From the 3 games they have lost at home they have lost by a combined score off 24 points. Their home games have resulted in point differential off -15. With an average point differential of -4.5 from all games played. 

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Points Per Game Season Stats

• BOS have an average PPG of 115.1 5th highest in Eastern Conference compared to a SAC average PPG of 104.8 13th in the Western Conference.
• BOS have an average OPP PPG of 106.3 compared to a SAC average OPP PPG of 109.3. 

Underdog / Favourite Season Stats

Boston have started favourites 8 times winning all 8. They have started as an underdog 3 times winning 2 of the 3. They have covered the line 6 from 11 times. While covering the – line 4 times from 7. 

Sacramento have won as favourites just 3 times from 5. They have started as an underdog 6 times winning just 1 of those games against Portland (2nd time) They have covered the last 6 games lines they have played with the last 4 being + lines. 

Line Betting

• In BOS last start they faced Golden State on the road and won by 5, failing to cover the -8 line.
• In SAC last start they faced Los Angeles Lakers on the road and lost by 2 covering a +8.5 line.

Key takeaways 

Boston are unbeaten as a favourite and have demonstrated a strong road ability thus far. Sacramento have only won 1 game as an underdog, with half of their wins coming at home. 

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Match Info

• BOS start Monday’s game 7:30am AEST as $1.71 favourites compared to SAC at $2.20.
• The line is set relatively close at -2.5/+2.5.
• The O/U is set at 218.5.
• At $1.71 BOS can be convincingly seen as favourites to a $2.20 SAC side. They have strung together 10 straight wins from their 11 games.
• Sacramento are still searching for consistent form. Although their home record holds only 50% of their winning games
• Sacramento rallied late in their last start against Los Angeles L to cover the line and keep the game by 2 points.

Betting Verdict

Our verdict is with Boston to win what will be a challenging game for both sides. We see this game with BOS leading from Q1-3 and SAC rallying late in the Q4. The late surge though will not be enough for them to win with BOS winning by 3 points or more covering the -2.5 line. 

Verdict: BOS -2.5 @ 1.90

Stake Verdict 

2 units or 2% of bankroll.

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*Analytics supplied by RVX Analytics