Horse To Follow & Horse To Sack From Caulfield – Saturday 20th February
February 22, 2021
Well, what a day we witnessed at Caulfield on Saturday with some dazzling performances from some very smart horses including: Group 1 winner Artorius!
Horse To Follow:
Angel Of Truth
- Race 9
- Distance: 1800m
- Class: Group 2
I’m convinced that this once, star 3yo staying horse has come back in the best shape of his career. This is evident on further analysis of his late sectional times in both of his runs back.
1st up in the Group 1 CF Orr Stakes he was well back off a modelling tempo and for a horse that lost by almost 6 lengths ran the fastest L200m sectional of the race by 2 lengths with a 11.56.
He backed that 1st up run with another blinding effort on Saturday when savaging the line from back and wide. In doing so he easily ran the fastest L600,400,200m with times of 43.08, 22.80, 11.32s respectively.
When To Bet
He is a horse that is destined for further and looks to peak next time out to 2000m. In the past, he has shown great gate-speed and has even led races on a couple of occasions. Looks as though the Hawkes team are riding him cold this preparation and thus far it is working. Ideal scenario would be – 2000m, Flemington, Dry track and easier grade. We might get 3 of those 4 factors when he most likely heads to the Australian Cup next start.
Horse To Follow:
- Race 3
- Distance: 1400m
- Class: Group 2 – 3YO Fillies
We were on her on Saturday and she was arguably one of the better things beaten on the card. They absolutely jog trotted in-front with the 2nd slowest tempo of the entire day to the 600m.
Visually, Impecunious was in an awkward spot when settling finding herself near last on the rails and it turned out to be the worst spot to be in on the entire day.
She looked to be bolting around the turn but had to check off heels multiple times before jockey, Glen Boss darted back to the inside rail (Which turned out to be the inferior going) and she motored home for an eye catching fourth.
Summed up our day with Brooklyn Hustle being the best thing beaten on the program. Small shoutout to her as she should “technically” be the “main” horse to follow on this program but I like to give out horses to follow that are betting opportunities next start which she will not be in the Newmarket against September Run who has that race in her hands as we speak!
When To Bet
She’s nominated for a bunch of middle distance-staying 3yo races in both Melbourne and Sydney. I don’t know where the team are going and couldn’t quite tell you. She might go on a possible guineas path with the nominations? Watch and wait.
Horse To Sack:
- Race 1
- Distance: 2000m
- Class: Listed
It was a “pea-heart” effort from Wolfe on the weekend and I just can’t see where he goes to from here as they have been mixing his trips up which took effect on the weekend.
They deadset jog trotted and he got it all his own way out in-front. He simply couldn’t go with them at the turn and it’s a bad sign if you can’t run with BM horses or 85-99 rated horses when you’ve got a 100 rating.
Hard to see him figuring in his nominated races and will be one to look around if he starts short in an upcoming race.