G3 Gimcrack Stakes Preview & Analysis
October 4, 2019
It’s the exciting time of year where the 2-year-olds hit the track but it’s hard to know who is going to be the real deal or who is going to struggle. @Deanwatling has taken a look at the barrier trials and given us his analysis and selections.
1. Ashra Jahre
- Jockey: R King
- Trainer: M Newnham
- Barrier: 10
- Market Price: $17
- Assessed Price: $15
Very big filly, lovely trial when found out late. Sat on speed and battled on well in 2nd fastest trial of the morning. Didn’t handle the tight Kensington turn, Randwick will suit better. Blinkers on in trial and stay on for race day. Place chance.
Expected Position: Pace
2. Every Rose
- Jockey: J Parr
- Trainer: M Newnham
- Barrier: 2
- Market Price: $2.90
- Assessed Price: $4
Great gate speed, jumped well. settled midfield in fast tempo heat, responded nicely to solid riding to win the trial ears pricked. Fastest overall time 50.08, L600 in 34.17. Par rode her in trial and sticks. Cost 160k. Right in this.
Expected Position: Pace/ Midfield
3. Full On A Star
- Jockey: B Avdulla
- Trainer: K Lees
- Barrier: 5
- Market Price: $5.50
- Assessed Price: $5
Very solid filly who cost $750k, made up good ground hands and heels in trial, looked to relax beautifully and come back under Avdulla, then responded well when asked for a effort. Winning the trial in solid overall time 34.34. Winning hope.
Expected Position: Backmarker
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4. In Flanders
- Jockey: N Rawiller
- Trainer: J Cummings
- Barrier: 12
- Market Price: $14
- Assessed Price: $12
Only Godolphin filly to win a trial. jumped well, but restrained and settled at the rear, pulled out under solid riding when responding well to the whip to win the trial in nice fashion. Overall time and L600m were slow so slight query on the run.
Expected Position: Backmarker
5. Miss Jay Fox
- Jockey: G Boss
- Trainer: B Baker
- Barrier: 4
- Market Price: $35
- Assessed Price: $51
Nice looking filly, found trouble in the straight where she was held up and the eased at the 150m mark. Hard to gage trial but this assignment looks challenging.
Expected Position: Midfield.
6. Oprhemum
- Jockey: H Bowman
- Trainer: R Quinton
- Barrier: 11
- Market Price: $41
- Assessed Price: $35
Was a distant 4th in 2nd fastest trial of the morning, off the bit and chancing a long way out stuck on solid but no match for top 3 in trial.
Expected Position: Backmarker
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7. Rose Sauvage
- Jockey: T Clark
- Trainer: T Bartley
- Barrier: 3
- Market Price: $19
- Assessed Price: $15
Very lightly framed filly but looked great in trial when under very light riding in entire straight, looked to be relaxed and doing her best work late under her own steam, just headed late by Fall on a Star.
Could be a smokey chance.
Expected Position: Pace.
8. Shani
- Jockey: G Schofield
- Trainer: C Maher & D Eustace
- Barrier: 1
- Market Price: $51
- Assessed Price: $46
Hampered in trial when racing between horses, copped 2 nasty checks which wouldn’t have
helped her case. Slowest time of the morning hard to access.
Expected Position: Backmarker
9. Stellar Pauline
- Jockey: K McEvoy
- Trainer: P & P Snowden
- Barrier: 6
- Market Price: $4.20
- Assessed Price: $4
Lovely trial by this filly, best trial for mine of the morning in regards to fillys. Was produced from the rail when settling behind the leaders in the run. Hit a small gap with confidence just missing Ticket to ride. Looked to have plenty left to give. 2nd fastest trial of the morning. Take beating.
Expected Position: Midfield
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10. Super One Susie
- Jockey: J Collett
- Trainer: C Cuningham
- Barrier: 9
- Market Price: $17
- Assessed Price: $17
Sneaky trial, held up most of the straight and looked to have plenty left. Produced over the last 50m under heavy riding to find the line nice.
Expected Position: Midfield
11. Ticket to Ride
- Jockey: T Berry
- Trainer: R & M Freedman
- Barrier: 8
- Market Price: $5.50
- Assessed Price: $4.50
Jumped well with nice gate speed. Looked to be relaxed in the run when wide the bend. Under light riding when doing it well under own steam, headed late by Stellar Pauline but fought back gamely. Thats what you want to see. Right in this.
Expected Position: Midfield
12. Undeniable
- Jockey: A Hyeronimus
- Trainer: L Hilton
- Barrier: 7
- Market Price: $91
- Assesed Price: $101
Off the bit and chasing a long way out, hard ridden and can’t see her featuring here.
Field position: Backmarker
Top 4 Selections
- Ticket to Ride
- Stellar Pauline
- Every Rose
- Fall On A Star
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