Charlotte Hornets Vs Cleveland Cavaliers Preview, Analytics & Staking Strategy

Cleveland returns home to face a Charlotte roster sitting on a 6 straight losing streak. Cleveland currently sitting at 12th in the Eastern Conference while Charlotte sits at 10th in the Eastern Conference. Here’s a look at our thoughts & tips.

• Charlotte 13-23 ROAD
• 6-12 Cleveland 10-23 HOME 6-10

Both teams have struggled throughout the season and have outlined several weaknesses offensively and defensively. Cleveland’s last game comes off a 20 point loss in Toronto against a powerhouse Raptors team, similarly, Charlotte’s last game comes of a 17 point loss to Boston at home.

Line Betting

• Charlotte slightly edge out Cleveland here with Charlotte winning 36.1% of games and a 44.44% line cover percentage so far whereas Cleveland have a 30.30% win rate and a line cover rate of 43.75%. Both teams rate offensively and defensively as weak teams in the league and conference. 

Match Point Betting

• Charlotte has averaged a 103.8 PPG & allowed an OPP PPG 110.8 thus far with a negative differential off -7. Cleveland has averaged a 104.3 PPG & allowed an OPP PPG 113.3 thus far with a negative differential off -9. 
• Charlotte have scored on average 0.5 of a point more than Cleveland per game. Charlotte have allowed on average 2.5 points less than Cleveland per game. 

Percentage Match-Ups.

• Cleveland have won 37.5% of home games so far, winning 2 of their last 3 home games while Charlotte have won 33.33% of road games so far losing 4 of their last 5.
• Cleveland have covered the line at home 46.67% of the time so far, covering 2 of their last 3 at home while Charlotte have covered 50% off their road games covering 1 of their last 3.
• Starting as a favourite Cleveland have won 33.33% of the games so far winning their last game as a favourite, Charlotte have won 35.48% of their games starting as an underdog winning 1 of their last 3.
• Cleveland have never covered the line as a favourite so far, failing to cover all 3 games while Charlotte have covered the line as an underdog 45.16% of the time covering 1 of their last 5. 

Betting Information

$LINE Cleveland $1.75 Charlotte $ 2.10 (+-)LINE Cleveland -1.5 @ $1.90 Charlotte +1.5 @ $1.90 

Verdict

This east conference matchup focuses on two of the offensive and defensive weaker teams, Charlotte failed to make much headway so far stringing together large streaks of losses while Cleveland have proven themselves as a strong unit with a couple of wins coming ATS in recent games.

From a betting perspective the market has Cleveland as favourites at $1.75 and Charlotte at $2.10 outsiders with the line set at -1.5/+1.5 respectively. This match up proves to be a tough contest between these two teams who have both struggled to score however based on recent games and overall season plays, Cleveland look to edge out Charlotte at home in what will be a tough task for both teams to make headway.

Cleveland -1.5 @ $1.90 will prove to be a good play, with Cleveland looking to hold off Charlotte at home. 

Staking

2 units or 2% of the bankroll. 

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