JULY 2,2026 - THURSDAY
AFL

AFL: Geelong vs Brisbane – Match Insights & Our Tips

8 hours ago - DustinS AFL: Geelong vs Brisbane – Match Insights & Our Tips Image
Geelong and Brisbane line up in a blockbuster Grand Final rematch for Thursday night footy. The stakes are huge with both teams sitting in 4th and 5th positions amongst a log jam of 5 teams locked on 9 wins. Geelong have won 10 straight at their GMHBA Stadium fortress. The Lions look to be back to their skating on thin ice mantra that has realised premierships in back-to-back seasons. They have won 3 on the trot after the 3-peat hung on a cliffs edge following 3 losses.

  Geelong get two massive ins with the return of mercurial intercepting defender Tom Stewart and ball magnet Bailey Smith and are now full strength. Brisbane come in unchanged but are still sweating on the return of Hugh McLuggage, Dane Zorko, Kiddy Coleman and Oscar Allan in the coming weeks. They will be keen to repeat last year’s massive 41 point victory on this ground before going on to beat the Cats by 47 points in the grand final. There looks to be nice value about the Lions.


Betting Insights-

  • Geelong – Head to Head 1.48

Geelong has won each of its last 10 matches at GMHBA Stadium.

  • Over (172.5) – Total Game Points – Over/Under 1.89

Each of Brisbane’s last four interstate matches have gone OVER the total match points line.

  • Bailey Smith – 30+ Disposals 1.62

Bailey Smith has recorded 30+ disposals in seven of his last eight appearances in night matches.

  • GEE Jeremy Cameron – 3+ Goals 2.03

Jeremy Cameron has kicked 3+ goals in 10 of Geelong’s last 11 matches at GMHBA Stadium.

  • BL Logan Morris – 3+ Goals 2.18

Logan Morris has kicked 3+ goals in each of Brisbane’s last three matches.

  • Zac Bailey – 20+ Disposals 1.31

Zac Bailey has recorded 20+ disposals in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that were ranked in the top four.

  • BL Will Ashcroft – 25+ Disposals 1.48

Will Ashcroft has recorded 28+ disposals in each of Brisbane’s last three away matches against Geelong.

  • Lachie Neale – 25+ Disposals 1.45

Lachie Neale has recorded 27+ disposals in each of his last nine appearances in night matches.

View our line, disposals, goals & match points tips below


Our Bets

  • $200 Brisbane @ $2.75 With Unibet– Bet Here
  • $ 50 SGMW Ashcroft 25+ Disp/ B Smith 30+ Disp/ L Morris 2+ Goals/ C Rayner 1+ Goal @ $4.75 With Unibet– Bet Here

CHANCES ARE YOU’RE ABOUT TO LOSE.

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