AFL Grand Final Preview: Richmond VS GWS Giants
September 27, 2019
RICHMOND VS GWS GIANTS – SATURDAY 28 SEPTEMBER, 2.30PM, MCG
It is Richmond that have opened as clear favourites in AFL Grand Final betting and they are now $1.36 to claim their second Premiership in three seasons.
It has been a very interesting season for Richmond.
They started the year as Premiership favourites, but lost that mantle when Alex Rance suffered a season-ending ACL injury in the opening round of the season.
A string of other injuries followed and the Tigers were a middling 7-6 after they lost to Adelaide in Round 13.
They haven’t looked back since.
The GWS Giants have also had an up and down year.
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Their Premiership odds changed significantly on a number of occasions throughout the season and the majority of punters ruled them out of contention after they suffered back-to-back losses against Hawthorn and the Western Bulldogs.
The Giants have since proven the doubters wrong.
The Giants’ 56-52 victory over the Pies was another example of the incredible desire within their playing group, which not only withstood Collingwood’s fierce comeback, but overcame the absences of Lachie Whitfield and Toby Greene, as well as multiple injuries to Phil Davis.
Whitfield and Greene will return on Saturday while Davis is expected to line up despite his injuries. The co-captain’s inclusion could be the most crucial, as GWS attempts to quell the influence of Tom Lynch, who put through five goals against Geelong.
How To Watch:
Stream Every Game Of The 2019 AFL Toyota Premiership Live & On Demand With Kayo
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Last 5 Matchups
THE MATCH-UP
Dustin Martin v Matt De Boer
Martin was rattled in round three, lashing out and striking Adam Kennedy while being held to just 15 disposals by De Boer. The Giant was sidelined with a collarbone injury the last time the two sides met, with Martin jumping to 25 touches.
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Betting Insights:
- Richmond has won each of its last 12 day matches in Melbourne by a margin of 1-39 points.
- The home team has won each of the last nine matches between Richmond and GWS.
- GWS has covered the line in each of its last five finals.
- Each of the last four Grand Finals have gone UNDER the total match points line.
- Lachie Whitfield has recorded 30+ disposals in each of GWS’s last three matches against Richmond.
- Tom J. Lynch has kicked three or more goals in six of Richmond’s last eight matches at the MCG.
- Dustin Martin has kicked two or more goals in each of his last three outings.
TIP: Richmond with too much experience.
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