2021 NRL State Of Origin Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan | The Sporting Base
[google-translator]

2021 NRL State Of Origin Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

June 27, 2021

2021 NRL State Of Origin Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

QLD suffered a demoralising loss in Game 1 & recent history will tell us that they will be hitting back hard but will it be enough to beat one of the greatest NSW sides in history?

2021 Season Tipping Results:
  • 89 wins from 162 tips
  • + 27.57 Units Of Profit
  • $2,757 Profit Based On $100 Units
  • 54.9% Strike Rate
  • View Results Spreadsheet


QLD MAROONS VS NSW BLUES – SUNDAY 27 JUNE, 7:50PM, SUNCORP STADIUM

Heads are down in Queensland right now following one of the most embarrassing losses in their history but if we learned anything about this Maroons side last year, it’s that you can never write them off as an underdog.

New South Wales opened as -4.5 favourites ahead of Game 1 in Townsville, but after demolishing the Maroons 50-6 in a record-breaking victory, it’s no real surprise to find the line all the way out to -13.5 heading into Sunday’s decisive Game 2.

Paul Green’s side found no answer for Tom Trobjevic on either side of the field, while the Maroons were also their own worst enemy missing over 50 tackles on the night.

Andrew McCullough will replace Grant at Hooker while Francis Molo has been handed a debut jumper and Josh Papalii returns from suspension. Angus Crichton has been added to New South Wales’ bench with Jake Trbojevic sidelined due to injury.

If history is anything to go by then QLD will be looking to bounce back here and this game will be closer than the bookies are expecting.

We’re backing a tight game and will cover that with a few anytime try scorer bets. (see below)

Important Stats:
  • The Blues have a strong recent history in Game II clashes, winning seven of the last 10.
  • Five of the last six Origin II matches have gone OVER the total match points line.
  • Valentine Holmes has been the first try-scorer in each of his last three Origin appearances at Suncorp Stadium.
  • In nine of the last 10 Origin series, the team that lost Game I has covered the line in Game II.
  • Tom Trbojevic has scored at least one try in each of his three previous Origin away appearances.

Our  Staking Plan
Total = 13 Units

Fill In The Form Below To Receive Our NRL News & Tips Straight To Your Email For FREE!

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Tell Us What You Think Below

January 21, 2026

Crichton to switch codes and chase Wallabies jersey for 2027 World Cup

Angus Crichton has signed a two-year deal with Rugby Australia and the Waratahs as he chases a spot at the 2027 World Cup, meaning the next NRL season will be the 29-year-old's last with the Sydney Read More

January 20, 2026

NRL to step in to resolve Lomax stand-off, even as club chiefs 'unanimous' in opposition

The NRL will be wading into the Parramatta vs Melbourne negotiating battle, with the game's administrators eager to have Zac Lomax playing in the competition in 2026 — even if it goes against the Read More

January 14, 2026

'Deliberately lowkey': Dragons held talks with Bula after Wests turmoil

The St George Illawarra Dragons may be hoping to use the civil war that exploded at the Wests Tigers late in 2025 as a chance to get themselves a fullback star for the future, with the joint venture Read More