2021 NRL Round 23 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan | The Sporting Base
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2021 NRL Round 23 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

August 19, 2021

2021 NRL Round 23 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

It was one of the biggest profits in our history with +18.57 units ($1,857) jumping in our account which also saw our overall tally jump to a season-high of +57.01 units ($5,701) but that is last week and we have staked 22 units this week in a bid to see those numbers rise.

2021 Season Tipping Results:
  •    130 wins from 248 tips
  •    + 57.01 Units Of Profit
  •    $5,701 Profit Based On $100 Units
  •    52.4% Strike Rate
  •    View Results Spreadsheet

GOLD COAST TITANS VS MELBOURNE STORM – THURSDAY AUGUST 19, 7:50PM, CBUS SUPER STADIUM

The Storm have a chance to equal the NRL’s longest winning streak record of 19 here and you’d be a brave punter to bet against them.

Melbourne has also carved out a strong six-game winning streak over the Titans dating back to 2018 so it’s no surprise to see them sit at a line of -20.5 points this week.

The Titans come into this game looking to bounce back from a humbling loss to the Rabbitohs.

Three consecutive wins prior sees the Titans still inside the eight, but there’s no doubt this is another tough challenge against a Storm outfit that leads the league in all major scoring categories.


CANBERRA RAIDERS VS MANLY SEA EAGLES – FRIDAY AUGUST 20, 6:00PM, SUNCORP STADIUM

Canberra showed they can mix it with the best last week after they stuck with the Storm throughout the game and most importantly they showed strength in defence which they will need against Manly this week.

The Sea Eagles are only two games adrift from the fourth-placed Rabbitohs after handing the Eels a 56-10 hiding last week following their own loss to Melbourne a week earlier.

Manly already appears to be a serious player come finals time, and they won’t be short on motivation this week after losing to the Raiders back in Round 17.


PENRITH PANTHERS VS SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS – FRIDAY AUGUST 20, 8:05PM, SUNCORP STADIUM

This is easily the game of the round with the Panthers back to full strength and the Rabbitohs looking to level the scores after Penrith crushed South Sydney 56-12 in round 11.

The Bunnies carry in a 10-match winning streak and have scored 32 points or more in the last eight, but now face a Panthers outfit boasting the best defence in the league in terms of points conceded this season.


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WESTS TIGERS VS CRONULLA SHARKS – SATURDAY AUGUST 21, 3:00PM, BROWNE PARK

An important game for both teams as they will look to keep their slim finals hopes alive with a win here.

The Sharks will have to overturn a 3 game losing streak while the Tigers are coming off a 2 game winning streak which included victories over the Bulldogs & Cowboys.

Wests have won only one game over Cronulla in their last five meetings, but this does feel like a more evenly matched contest than the current market suggests.


CANTERBURY BULLDOGS VS NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS – SATURDAY AUGUST 21, 5:30PM, CBUS SUPER STADIUM

The Knights are knocking on the door of the eight and have a great chance to cement a spot with a victory over the struggling Bulldogs outfit.

Newcastle’s finals chances have been helped by the likes of Kalyn Ponga and Bradman Best back in the fold, and they should have no trouble disposing of the Dogs in similar fashion to their 32-16 win when they met back in March.


PARRAMATTA EELS VS NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS – SATURDAY AUGUST 21, 7:35PM, CBUS SUPER STADIUM

The Parramatta Eels have dropped out of the top four for the first time since Round 5 and are in desperate need of a victory when they face the North Queensland Cowboys.

The most worrying statistic is that they have only managed to put 12 points on the board in the last 4 games.

To their credit, the Cowboys did finish strongly in the loss to Wests last week, but it’s tough to get excited about their chances on Saturday with so many stars on the sideline.

The Eels handed North Queensland a 42-4 loss when they met last year, while they’ve also played to a 3-1 record as the home favourite against the Cowboys.


ST GEORGE-ILLAWARRA DRAGONS VS SYDNEY ROOSTERS – SUNDAY AUGUST 22, 2:00PM, CLIVE BERGHOFER STADIUM

The Roosters were well below their best in their 1 point victory against the Broncos last week.

A late penalty goal helped Sydney back inside the top four, but head coach Trent Robinson will be calling for a much more thorough effort this week after his side gave up the lead inside the final 10 minutes.

The Dragons have had their finals hopes dashed thanks to a slew of recent injuries, but they still stand a chance at making the eight if results go their way.

Unfortunately, the Saints not only have injuries to overcome, but also a three-year hoodoo against the Roosters that includes six consecutive losses.

There could be some reprieve ahead this week with Tariq Sims a chance at returning to the side, while the Roosters are set to regain Jared Waerea-Hargreaves.


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BRISBANE BRONCOS VS NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS – SUNDAY AUGUST 22, 4:05PM, SUNCORP STADIUM

The Warriors still have a mathematical chance of making the eight but they will have to put away a confident Broncos outfit here.

Brisbane was unlucky to lose a thriller last Friday night against the Roosters on a controversial penalty decision, but Kevin Walters has to be pleased with the way his side has played against two genuine top-eight sides over the last fortnight.

Defensively, the Warriors have been very impressive holding their last three opponents to under 20 points, but it’s tough to read too much into wins over the Tigers, Sharks and Bulldogs.

They will need that strong defence with the Broncos looking strong in attack in recent weeks.


Our  Staking Plan
  •   4 units Storm -20.5 @ $2
  •   2 units Raiders +14.5 @ $2
  •   1 unit Sea Eagles 1-12 @ $3.40
  •   2 units Panthers -2.5 @ $21
  •   2 units under 47.5 total match points @ $1.85
  •   2 units Sharks -4 @ $2
  •   1 unit over 49.5 total match points @ $1.90
  •   3 units Knights -16 @ $2
  •   3 units Eels -10.5 @ $2
  •   1 unit Roosters 13 to 24 @ $3.45
  •   1 unit Broncos @ $2.05
Total = 22 Units

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