2021 NRL Round 16 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan | The Sporting Base
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2021 NRL Round 16 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

July 1, 2021

By The Sporting Base
2021 NRL Round 16 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

We’re sitting on a nice 23.73 units of profit but will look to improve that in round 16 with 21 units staked across 13 bets.
2021 Season Tipping Results:
  • 89 wins from 162 tips
  • + 23.73 Units Of Profit
  • $2,373 Profit Based On $100 Units
  • 54.9% Strike Rate
  • View Results Spreadsheet
SYDNEY ROOSTERS VS MELBOURNE STORM – THURSDAY JULY 1, 7:50PM, MCDONALD JONES STADIUM

Newcastle will play host to a Thursday night blockbuster between the Roosters and Storm due to Sydney’s ongoing COVID crisis.

The Storm have charged to the top of the ladder with 12 straight wins despite the absence of some key personnel.

The Roosters come into this one looking to forget all about their ugly defeat against the Panthers in Penrith, and although they’ve been a strong bounce-back bet over the last few years, it’s hard to get on board with any kind of upset.

Like always, the Storm have had no trouble scoring points this year, but the fact both teams rank bottom five in tries conceded this year suggests this could be a low-scoring game.

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NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS VS ST GEORGE-ILLAWARRA DRAGONS – FRIDAY JULY 2, 6:00PM, CENTRAL COAST STADIUM

It’s now or never for the New Zealand Warriors as they look to stay in touch with the top eight when they host the St. George Illawarra Dragons on Friday night. On the other hand, the Red V can strengthen their own finals chances with a victory and stay ahead of the chasing pack with a bye coming next week.

These two sides have been largely inconsistent throughout the course of the year, so this is definitely a tough game to feel good about.

On one hand, the Warriors tend to play their best footy on the Central Coast, but the week off between games makes this a fairly even matchup.

That said, the Warriors have the wood over the Dragons with five straight wins dating back to 2018, including a 20-14 win when they met back in Round 6.

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PENRITH PANTHERS VS PARRAMATTA EELS – FRIDAY JULY 2, 7:55PM, PANTHERS STADIUM

The Panthers snapped back into the winners’ circle last round after two straight losses with a convincing 28-point win over the Roosters.

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Winners of three straight, the Eels have been on a tear of late with three blowout victories over the Knights, Tigers and Bulldogs, but obviously, this is a step up in class against the premiership favourites and one Brad Arthur will be hungry to win.

The Panthers got the better of the Eels when they met last year with a comfortable 20-2 win that saw Nathan Cleary and Dylan Edwards dominate from start to finish.

The Panthers will likely win this game on defence as they continue to lead the league in fewest points conceded.

CANTERBURY BULLDOGS VS MANLY SEA EAGLES – SATURDAY JULY 3, 3:00PM, BANKWEST STADIUM

The Sea Eagles continue their march towards the top four this week with a very favourable game against the struggling Bulldogs on Saturday.

Currently sitting sixth, Manly has an enormous opportunity to bridge the gap between themselves and the Roosters, while this also shapes as an important game for the Bulldogs as far as the wooden spoon is concerned.

Kyle Flanagan at five-eighth, Corey Allan on the wing and the debuting Falakiko Manu in the centres are part of a new-look backline for the Bulldogs as five of their 17 that faced the Eels are missing due to breaching biosecurity protocols. Manly is unchanged from its thumping win over the Titans before the break.

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CANBERRA RAIDERS VS GOLD COAST TITANS – SATURDAY JULY 3, 5:30PM, GIO STADIUM

The Raiders, grand finalists less than two years ago, have lost eight of their past 10 games with their only wins in that time coming against cellar-dwellers Brisbane and Canterbury.

Likewise, the Titans should sense the importance of a victory with only one win from their last five games.

Justin Holbrook’s side was unlucky to lose against the Storm and the Roosters earlier in the month, but the way they were torn apart by Manly before the bye was indicative of the struggles the Titans have had all season on defence.

As far as betting goes, it’s very hard to feel overly confident in either team, but the Titans do look good value at the line despite recent results.

NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS VS NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS – SATURDAY JULY 3, 7:35PM, MCDONALD JONES STADIUM

Newcastle lost 36-20 to the Cowboys when they met in Townsville earlier in May, a game Adam O’Brien’s men will be hungry to atone for with the finals still very much up for grabs.

The Cowboys’ travelling form has been poor in 2021, winning just one match away from Queensland Country Bank Stadium, while they have only won one of their past five in Newcastle.

Kalyn Ponga is back for the Knights, moving Kurt Mann to the centres. Todd Payten sticks with the same Cowboys 17 from the loss to Cronulla, with their Origin trio of Valentine Holmes, Kyle Feldt and Francis Molo all named to play.

BRISBANE BRONCOS VS CRONULLA SHARKS – SUNDAY JULY 4, 2:00PM, SUNCORP STADIUM

The Sharks have a prime opportunity to extend their winning streak to five against the hapless Broncos on Sunday.

Wins over the Dragons, Titans, Panthers, and Cowboys were enough to push Cronulla back inside the eight before the bye, and with Brisbane coming off another forgettable 46-0 drubbing at the hands of South Sydney a fortnight ago, this looks to be the Sharks for the taking.

Just when the Broncos thought things couldn’t get any worse, they were also dealt a serious injury blow against the Rabbitohs with Jesse Arthars and John Asiata both suffering head knocks.

From a betting standpoint, Brisbane has lost each of its last four games by 13+ points, which ties in nicely with Cronulla’s perfect 3-0 record as the away favourite at the line.

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WESTS TIGERS VS SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS – SUNDAY JULY 4, 4:05PM, LEICHARDT OVAL

The Rabbitohs are one of the most in-form sides in the competition right now and it is no surprise to find them as heavy -20 favourites on Sunday against the Tigers at Leichardt.

Wayne Bennett’s men rattled off three impressive victories over the Eels, Knights and Broncos before the bye, although it’s fair to say they’ll be eager to prove a point against the Tigers after prevailing in overtime when the two sides met back in Round 6.

The Wests Tigers are under enormous pressure to climb out of the very deep hole they dug for themselves in their 50-point capitulation to the Storm on the Gold Coast last round.

Our  Staking Plan
Total = 21 Units

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