2021 NRL Round 12 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan | The Sporting Base
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2021 NRL Round 12 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

May 26, 2021

2021 NRL Round 12 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

Round 12 looks like a great round with plenty of value bets on offer which should help us improve on the 29.29 units of profit we’ve made this season.

2021 Season Tipping Results:
  • 68 wins from 114 tips
  • + 29.29 Units Of Profit
  • $1,464.50 Profit Based On $50 Units
  • 59% Strike Rate
  • View Results Spreadsheet

BRISBANE BRONCOS VS MELBOURNE STORM – THURSDAY MAY 27, 7:50PM, SUNCORP STADIUM

The Broncos pulled off one of the upsets of the season last week with a controversial win over the Roosters, but this shapes as a much tougher test against a Storm side that has held their number for the better part of the last five seasons.

Their 34-16 win over the Roosters was made more astonishing by the fact they had lost 50-6 at Suncorp the week prior and the stunning turnaround was inspired by Albert Kelly – a man making his first NRL appearance in nearly seven years.

The Storm’s active eight-match winning streak started in Round 4 with a 40-6 demolition of the Broncos – their ninth straight against the Brisbane club.

Jahrome Hughes makes a timely return for the reigning premiers to bolster their undermanned backline.


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NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS VS NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS – FRIDAY MAY 28, 6:00PM, QUEENSLAND COUNTRY BANK STADIUM

A top-eight spot is up for grabs when the North Queensland Cowboys host the New Zealand Warriors on Friday night. With both sides coming off wins last week, one team can square the season ledger at 6-6 and potentially gain some breathing room between itself and a logjam of rivals.

Cowboys coach Todd Payten will get a second crack at his former team after losing 24-20 in their meeting in Gosford only four rounds ago. His side will be without enforcer Jason Taumalolo due to suspension as well as centre Connelly Lemuelu, who is out with a thumb injury. They will be replaced by Coen Hess and Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow respectively.

The Warriors will keep skipper Roger Tuivasa-Sheck on the wing with Reece Walsh named at fullback, while Kane Evans and Jack Murchie are back in the run-on side with Bunty Afoa and Ben Murdoch-Masila dropping to the interchange.


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WESTS TIGERS VS ST GEORGE-ILLAWARRA DRAGONS – FRIDAY MAY 28, 7:55PM, BANKWEST STADIUM

The Tigers and the Dragons were both victims of narrow losses last week as they look to bounce back on Friday night at Bankwest.

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The Dragons lost a heartbreaker to the Sharks in golden point, with Corey Norman missing two match-winning field goal attempts.

Meanwhile, the Tigers led with 12 minutes to play against the Warriors but were unable to withstand a late charge. That result keeps them in the bottom four with a 3-8 record. One of those wins came against the Dragons just four rounds ago.

James Roberts is back on the wing for Wests, shifting Tommy Talau to the centres and Joey Leilua out of the side. Josh Kerr has been added to the extensive list of suspended Dragons, but they do regain Tariq Sims from his one-match ban. Paul Vaughan is back in the starting side with Poasa Faamausili dropping to the bench.


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PENRITH PANTHERS VS CANTERBURY BANKSTOWN BULLDOGS – SATURDAY MAY 29, 3:00PM, PANTHERS STADIUM

The Panthers – fresh off a 56-12 thrashing of South Sydney – are arguably in better form now than when they scored a 28-0 win over the Bulldogs in round two.

the Panthers have outscored the Bulldogs 70-0 in their last two meetings combined, and we could certainly see another blowout with Dylan Edwards potentially returning from a hamstring issue.

A line this long makes this a difficult game to bet on, but we’re backing the Panthers to cover.


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SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS VS PARRAMATTA EELS – SATURDAY MAY 29, 5:30PM, STADIUM AUSTRALIA

Souths came up well short against premiership favourites Penrith, while the Eels felt the full force of Manly’s wrath in their own blowout defeat.

Both teams have typically been a strong bounce-back bet over the last calendar year, but this does look a more winnable game for South Sydney with a few stars potentially returning to the side.

Josh Mansour and Cameron Murray are both a good chance to play, while it’s worth noting the Bunnies have won four of their last five games against Parramatta, the most recent coming in last year’s Semi-Final.

The Eels showed some familiar problems last week in their loss to Manly as they again failed to string together two halves.


SYDNEY ROOSTERS VS CANBERRA RAIDERS – SATURDAY MAY 29, 7:35PM, CENTRAL COAST STADIUM

Fresh from a controversial loss to the Broncos last week, a win could prove crucial for the Roosters with the Eels and the Rabbitohs squaring off only a few hours earlier.

Likewise, the Raiders could also move a step closer to rejoining the eight after suffering another thrashing at the hands of the Storm last week at home.

No more than eight points has separated these two sides in their last nine meetings, but there is a decent chance this one gets a little out of hand based on Canberra’s long list of injuries.

While Jarrod Croker has reportedly recovered well from his shoulder injury, the captain still remains on the sidelines for the next few weeks alongside Elliott Whitehead, Jack Wighton, and Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad.

Also working in the Roosters’ favour here is their outstanding record on the back of a loss.

Sydney has played to a 6-3 record at the line in this situation, and with the Raiders still struggling to play defence in the second half, they might just add to that record this week.


CRONULLA SHARKS VS GOLD COAST TITANS – SUNDAY MAY 30, 2:00PM, COFFS INTERNATIONAL STADIUM

Cronulla secured an overtime win last week over the rival Dragons thanks to the boot of Chad Townsend, but this does shape as a tougher task against a Titans team that is desperate to hold onto a spot in the eight.

Justin Holbrook’s side picked up a much-needed 10-point win over the Bulldogs last week at home, but again, it’s tough to read too much into a win over the cellar dwellers.

The Sharks currently rank second in the league in missed tackles, while the Titans have looked very vulnerable up the middle in recent weeks.

The trends also support the idea of a high-scoring game.


NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS VS MANLY SEA EAGLES – SUNDAY MAY 30, 4:05PM, MCDONALD JONES STADIUM

A game against the red-hot Sea Eagles couldn’t have come at a worse time for the Knights.

Newcastle has suffered back-to-back blowout defeats over the last fortnight to the Tigers and Cowboys, but there could be some reprieve on the horizon with Bradman Best and Kalyn Ponga both a chance at returning this week.

Even so, the Sea Eagles have shown no signs of slowing down after flexing their muscle last week in a convincing 28-6 win over the Eels.

Manly has been an outstanding bet as the away favourite over the last year 12 months playing to a 3-0 record at the line, and the way they are playing defensively right now suggests they should have no trouble holding the Knights to a low total.


Our  Staking Plan
Total = 16 Units

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