2021 NRL Round 11 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan | The Sporting Base
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2021 NRL Round 11 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

May 20, 2021

By The Sporting Base
2021 NRL Round 11 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

Round 10 was our best on record with 13 units jumping in the account but now we move to round 11 where we look to improve on our 12 wins from the last 13 bets tally.
2021 Season Tipping Results:
  • 64 wins from 101 tips
  • + 36.39 Units Of Profit
  • $1,819.50 Profit Based On $50 Units
  • 63% Strike Rate
  • View Results Spreadsheet
NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS VS NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS – THURSDAY MAY 20, 7:50PM, QUEENSLAND COUNTRY BANK STADIUM

With both clubs coming off losses and holding a 4-6 record, this shapes as a must-win contest.

The Cowboys clawed their way back to 18-16 after conceding four early tries to the Roosters last week but were eventually undone by some James Tedesco magic.

Meanwhile, without Kalyn Ponga, the Knights were outclassed from go to woe by the Tigers, falling to them for the second time this season. The star fullback isn’t ready to return and will be joined on the sidelines by Hymel Hunt, who suffered yet another hamstring injury during Magic Round.

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NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS VS WESTS TIGERS – FRIDAY MAY 21, 6:00PM, CENTRAL COAST STADIUM

Michael Maguire’s side picked up its third win of the season thanks to an Adam Doueihi double, but whether the Tigers can replicate that performance against a Warriors side that typically plays well on the Central Coast remains to be seen.

While the Warriors have struggled to match that of Manly and Parramatta over the last fortnight, head coach Nathan Brown has to feel good about the fact there is only two points separating his side from the sixth-placed Dragons.

As far as trends go, recent history also suggests the Warriors are the team to bet on.

The Kiwis have played to a strong 3-1 record as the away favourite at the line against the Tigers, and they can certainly add to that number if they limit the errors that cost them last week.

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CRONULLA SHARKS VS ST GEORGE-ILLAWARRA DRAGONS – FRIDAY MAY 21, 7:55PM, NESTRATA JUBILEE STADIUM

Cronulla dropped its sixth straight game last week with a 10-point loss to the Rabbitohs, while the Dragons also backed up their strong win over the Bulldogs the week prior with a disappointing 44-18 loss at the hands of the Storm.

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The Sharks took a 14-0 lead into the sheds when these two sides met back in March and did not look back on their way to a comfortable victory.

Coach Anthony Griffin has instilled a lot of fight in St George Illawarra and while they will be looking for more consistency from week to week Griffin knows they won’t lie down if things go against them. That resilience will be further tested by the injury and judiciary consequences of their trip to Brisbane.

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GOLD COAST TITANS VS CANTERBURY BULLDOGS – SATURDAY MAY 22, 3:00PM, CBUS SUPER STADIUM

The Titans have conceded a staggering 188 points in their past five outings, sending their points differential into negative territory and the club out of the top eight.

A match against one of the NRL’s battlers should be just the pick-me-up the team needs but the roller-coaster form line and absence of star forward David Fifita (suspended) dictate that nothing be taken for granted. And with dates against the Storm and Roosters looming this is a win the Titans just have to have.

Being unable to seal the deal after leading 12-8 against a 12-man Canberra is hardly an encouraging sign for the Bulldogs. It’s been four weeks since Canterbury’s lone win of 2021 and they still don’t look like they have worked out how and where victory No.2 will be secured.

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SYDNEY ROOSTERS VS BRISBANE BRONCOS – SATURDAY MAY 22, 5:30PM, SCG

Brisbane squares off against the Roosters this week in Sydney only seven days removed from an embarrassing 44-point defeat against Manly in the Magic Round.

Kevin Walters labeled that performance as one of the worst he’s seen in his time around the game, and although the Roosters are far from full strength, it’s very difficult to see this game not getting out of hand in a hurry.

Not only are the Roosters 5-0 at home this year, but they’ve also outscored the Broncos 117-12 in their last two contests.

CANBERRA RAIDERS VS MELBOURNE STORM – SATURDAY MAY 22, 7:35PM, GIO STADIUM

Canberra’s reward for snapping their five-game losing streak despite playing a man down for more than half a game against the Bulldogs is a match-up with the potent Melbourne attacking machine.

The loss of Josh Papalii, Jack Wighton and Josh Hodgson to suspension multiplies the difficulty of that assignment exponentially.

Melbourne, meanwhile, cruised to its seventh straight win last week a dominant victory over the Dragons, although head coach Craig Bellamy will be sweating on Ryan Papenhuyzen’s status after the star fullback suffered a head knock.

Even so, the Storm proved to everyone last week that they have enough depth to overcome Cameron Munster’s injury, so even if Papz sits, they should be winning this game against a Canberra team that still can’t string together two consistent halves.

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS VS PENRITH PANTHERS – SUNDAY MAY 23, 2:00PM, APEX OVAL

Penrith manhandled the Titans last week in convincing 48-12 fashion, while the Rabbits bounced back from a shutout loss to the Storm to win big over the struggling Sharks.

Adding further spice to this matchup is the fact Latrell Mitchell is set to return from suspension, while Josh Mansour could be a potential inclusion after battling through a hamstring injury.

Even with a full squad though, this still looks a tough test for Wayne Bennett’s side.

The Panthers have won each of their last three contests against the Rabbitohs by narrow margins, and they have also been a much stronger defensive side when it comes to points conceded.

PARRAMATTA EELS VS MANLY SEA EAGLES – SUNDAY MAY 23, 4:05PM, BANKWEST STADIUM

Parramatta made it five on the trot last week with a dominant victory over the Warriors, while the Sea Eagles made it back-to-back wins in a memorable 50-6 drubbing over the Broncos.

A win here for Manly would really shakeup the ladder with only four points between 3rd and 7th, but it’s hard to ignore the fact the Eels have managed to score 30 points or more in each of their last five games.

To be fair, Manly holds bragging rights over Parramatta after winning by four points when they met last July, but they’ll need to bring their best this time around with Kieran Foran out indefinitely with a hand injury.

Our  Staking Plan
Total = 17 Units

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