2021 NFL Week 13 Preview: Our Expert Tips & Staking Plan

This has been one of the toughest runs of my betting life. We have eight winning weeks and four losing this season so far, but those losing weeks have been disasters. No excuses though. I will keep on working as hard as I always have on these as we get back to winning ways and back into profit.

I will likely be adding some more picks before the games so make sure to check back.

Season to date

Premium picks:

• Profit/Loss: -2.46 units
• ROI: -2%
• Strike rate: 45%

Free Thursday Night Football Picks:

• Profit/Loss: -9.53 units
• ROI: -21%
• Strike rate: 31%

Arizona Cardinals @ Chicago Bears

Kyler Murray should be back in the line up but there is almost certainly going to be a little rust there. The Cardinals may win the game outright, although I think the Bears are great value in this spot. Andy Dalton will be at quarterback and while I think he is unexciting, he is solid enough. The Bears are the pick with a lot of points at home.

• 2 units Bears +7.5 2.0 with TopSport
• 1 unit Bears moneyline 3.80 with TopSport

New York Giants @ Miami Dolphins

I would want to back the Dolphins here anyway, but with the injury woes in New York I feel even better about it, even with a decent spread. Miami have been very good of late with the defence looking like what many expected it to be and Tua really stepping up. Jaylen Waddle has gone under the radar a little but he is enjoying a phenomenal rookie season.

• 1 unit Dolphins -6.5 2.0 with TopSport
• 1 unit Jaylen Waddle any time touchdown 2.90 with Ladbrokes

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Los Angeles Rams

The Rams just do not look right at the moment. They are a good team and I think they will get it right, but they are suffering a bit of a dip. The Jags are far from good, but I think they can stay in this one and give LA a game.

• 1 units Jaguars +12.5 2.0 with TopSport
• 0.5 units Jaguars moneyline 6.0 with TopSport

Washington Football Team @ Oakland Raiders

The Raiders have been hurt by so many things off the field, but the loss of Darren Waller is a big blow to them. Despite more bets being placed on the Raiders, the line has moved towards Washington meaning the sharp money is coming in for the road team and I want to back that side as well.

• 2 units Washington +1.5 2.0 with TopSport

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills

Another team where I just have to back my read on them. I truly believe that this Patriots run has been quite flukey. They have either played bad teams or good to average teams that have been obliterated by injury. In the cold and rain forecast for Monday night in Buffalo I think we will see Mac Jones struggle and the Bills get a very important win.

• 2 units Bills -2.5 1.79 with TopSport
• 1 unit Patriots/Bills over 41.5 1.96 with TopSport

Expert Tips

• 2 units Bears +7.5 2.0 with TopSport
• 1 unit Bears moneyline 3.80 with TopSport
• 1 unit Dolphins -6.5 2.0 with TopSport
• 1 unit Jaylen Waddle any time touchdown 2.90 with Ladbrokes
• 1 units Jaguars +12.5 2.0 with TopSport
• 0.5 units Jaguars moneyline 6.0 with TopSport
• 2 units Washington +1.5 2.0 with TopSport
• 2 units Bills -2.5 1.79 with TopSport
• 1 unit Patriots/Bills over 41.5 1.96 with TopSport