State of Origin has produced some incredible betting insight over the past decade, but most punters focus solely on the head-to-head market. We’ve analysed the numbers and found several trends across line betting, first try scorers and margins that could provide value ahead of Game III.
Whether you’re backing the Blues or the Maroons, making informed betting decisions starts with understanding the trends. We’ve analysed the numbers from the past five Origin series to uncover where the value has been, from total points and winning margins to the player markets that have consistently delivered. Before placing your bets for the decider, check out the key insights below.
1. Unders have been the better play
Across the 15 games:
- Average total points: 36.5
- 10 of 15 games finished under 40.5 points
- Only 5 of 15 reached 41+ points.
2. Winning margins
15 games
- 7 decided by 1-8 points
- 4 decided by 9-16
- 4 blowouts (17+)
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