JULY 10,2026 - FRIDAY
NRL

State Of Origin Game 3 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan

5 years ago - Sportingbase State Of Origin Game 3 Preview: Our Selections & Staking Plan Image
The Blues returned to their best form with a dominant victory against a deflated Maroons outfit but with the decider being played in front of a packed out Suncorp which should be 90% QLD fans it is sure to be a thriller.

Tipping Results (Started In Round 8) :

NSW BLUES VS QLD MAROONS – WEDNESDAY 18 NOVEMBER, 7:10PM, SUNCORP STADIUM

The Blues have come up a short $1.39 favourite which compliments their strong performance in Sydney last week but this week will be a lot harder with a flight to QLD before having to silence a Suncorp Stadium packed full of QLD supporters.



Line Betting

QLD will start with roughly +7.5 points which seems ludicrous factoring in the Suncorp advantage this time around, a venue the Blues haven’t won at since their Game 1 victory way back in 2017.

This Blues outfit is easily one of the most talented we’ve ever seen, but as we saw last Wednesday, the home crowd can really play a part in these must-win games.

The only potential move coming from Blues camp will be out on the wing if Josh Addo-Carr is deemed unfit to play, although that seems unlikely based on most reports.

  • 1 unit QLD +7.5 @ $2 With TopSport

Tryscorer Markets

With the Fox looking unlikely we will be looking to the other side of the field where Daniel Tupou has been on fire in the first 2 games.

The Blues will likely target the high flyer to put the QLD team under pressure early.

We’re also licking our lips at the thought of Dane Gagai paying $2.88 in the anytime tryscorer market as he is a known QLD tryscoring machine!

  • 1 Unit Daniel Tupou First Tryscorer @ $ With TopSport
  • 2 Units Dane Gagai Anytime Tryscorer @ $2.88 With TopSport

Get Every Racing Tip From Every Expert Analyst Across 3 States Here!


Points Betting

In terms of recent history, the last Origin game at Suncorp to result in over 40 points occurred back in 2016, so you have to like the Under again in this scenario.

  • 1 Unit Under 40.5 Total Match Points @ $1.95 With TopSport

Tips
Total = 6 Units

CHANCES ARE YOU’RE ABOUT TO LOSE.

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