NSW Vs QLD – Match Insights & Our Tips

2 weeks ago - thesportingbase NSW Vs QLD – Match Insights & Our Tips Image

The 2026 State of Origin series kicks off at Accor Stadium on Wednesday night with both New South Wales and Queensland unveiling fresh faces, and you can find our full betting insights and tips available below.

The Blues enter as favourites after last year’s series-opening success, while the Maroons once again arrive as underdogs with a revamped lineup under Billy Slater. With a stack of potential debutants on both sides, key late changes already impacting the teams and recent Origin history proving home-ground advantage means little, this shapes as a fascinating opener — and one well worth analysing before placing a bet.


Betting Insights

  • Queensland has covered the line in each of its last three Origin I matches at Accor Stadium. – $1.90 With UnibetBet Here
  • Twelve of the last 16 Origin matches at Accor Stadium have gone UNDER the total match points line. – $1.90 With Unibet – Bet Here
  • Brian To’o has scored at least one try in each of New South Wales’ last four Origin matches as a favourite. – $2.20 With Unibet – Bet Here
  • Stephen Crichton has scored a try in each of the last two Origin matches. – $3.25 With Unibet – Bet Here
  • Cameron Munster has scored a try in three of his last five Origin appearances with Queensland as an underdog. – $5 With Unibet – Bet Here
View our line, try scorer & match points tips below

Our Bets

CHANCES ARE YOU’RE ABOUT TO LOSE.

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