JULY 6,2026 - MONDAY

NSW Vs QLD – Match Insights & Our Tips

1 month ago - thesportingbase NSW Vs QLD – Match Insights & Our Tips Image

The 2026 State of Origin series kicks off at Accor Stadium on Wednesday night with both New South Wales and Queensland unveiling fresh faces, and you can find our full betting insights and tips available below.

The Blues enter as favourites after last year’s series-opening success, while the Maroons once again arrive as underdogs with a revamped lineup under Billy Slater. With a stack of potential debutants on both sides, key late changes already impacting the teams and recent Origin history proving home-ground advantage means little, this shapes as a fascinating opener — and one well worth analysing before placing a bet.


Betting Insights

  • Queensland has covered the line in each of its last three Origin I matches at Accor Stadium. – $1.90 With UnibetBet Here
  • Twelve of the last 16 Origin matches at Accor Stadium have gone UNDER the total match points line. – $1.90 With Unibet – Bet Here
  • Brian To’o has scored at least one try in each of New South Wales’ last four Origin matches as a favourite. – $2.20 With Unibet – Bet Here
  • Stephen Crichton has scored a try in each of the last two Origin matches. – $3.25 With Unibet – Bet Here
  • Cameron Munster has scored a try in three of his last five Origin appearances with Queensland as an underdog. – $5 With Unibet – Bet Here
View our line, try scorer & match points tips below

Our Bets

CHANCES ARE YOU’RE ABOUT TO LOSE.

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

Cta Bg Image

Want To Receive Our NRL News Each Week?

We can email you our NRL Content as it comes in each week

Fill in the form & you will stop seeing this each time you view our insights & tips

Related Articles

‘We’ll see him again’: Nawaqanitawase already planning Roosters return Image ‘We’ll see him again’: Nawaqanitawase already planning Roosters return

Chooks supremo Nick Politis has already declared that the club “wants Mark back.” ...

3 hours ago
Black Book: Horses You Must Follow From Flemington 4/7 Image Black Book: Horses You Must Follow From Flemington 4/7

The replays and sectional times have been reviewed from Saturday’s Caulfield meeting. Our analyst has black booked four runners including a fill...

1 day ago
It’s impossible to ignore caretaker Fraser as legit pick for Blues top job Image
AFL
It’s impossible to ignore caretaker Fraser as legit pick for Blues top job

Incredibly, Fraser is not yet one of the nine options the Blues bosses have been tossing up for the full-time gig. ...

2 hours ago
Header Logo
Blackbook
Form guide