The official team lists are in for Sea Eagles vs Dragons, with Manly losing Tolu Koula and Josh Feledy moving into the centres. The Dragons have also been forced into a hooking reshuffle, with Jacob Liddle out and Damien Cook promoted to start.
Biggest Winners – Sea Eagles
Jason Saab
Saab has scored five tries in his past four games at 4 Pines Park, making him one of the most appealing Manly players in the try market.
Our Tip: Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
Tom Trbojevic
Turbo remains at fullback and should be Manly’s main attacking threat against a Dragons side that has won just two of its past 18 away games.
Our Tip: Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
Josh Feledy
Koula’s ankle injury promotes Feledy into the starting centres. The increased opportunity makes his anytime try price worth checking with Sportsbet and TAB.
Our Tip: Josh Feledy – Anytime Try Scorer
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Biggest Losers – Sea Eagles
Tolu Koula
Koula suffered a moderate-grade syndesmosis injury against Newcastle and will only return this season if Manly reach the finals.
Betting Impact: Feledy becomes the direct beneficiary, but Koula’s absence removes one of Manly’s most dangerous attacking weapons.
Manly’s New Centre Combination
Feledy comes into the centres alongside Reuben Garrick, meaning Manly lose some speed and familiarity with Koula unavailable.
That matters against a Dragons backline containing Valentine Holmes and Tyrell Sloan.
Our Tip: Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
Manly’s Left Edge
Sloan has scored six tries in seven games against the Sea Eagles, giving the Dragons winger a strong matchup record.
Our Tip: Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
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Biggest Winners – Dragons
Damien Cook
Liddle’s calf injury moves Cook from the bench into the starting No.9 jersey. That should significantly increase his minutes and defensive involvement.
Our Tip: Damien Cook – Over Tackles
Tyrell Sloan
Sloan’s six tries from seven games against Manly is the standout Dragons try-scoring statistic.
Our Tip: Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
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Connor Muhleisen
Muhleisen returns to the NRL on the interchange after recovering from the ACL rupture he suffered in last year’s NSW Cup Grand Final.
Betting Impact: His presence as the backup hooker is worth considering before taking an aggressive Cook tackle line.
Biggest Losers – Dragons
Jacob Liddle
Liddle is unavailable with a calf injury, forcing Cook into the starting side and Muhleisen onto the interchange.
Betting Impact: Cook becomes the Dragons player whose individual markets benefit most from the change.
Dragons Away Record
The Dragons have won only two of their past 18 away matches, and now head to 4 Pines Park where Manly have won six of their past eight against them.
Our Tip: Sea Eagles – Head-to-Head
Dragons Edge Defence
Manly still field Turbo, Saab, Garrick and Hopoate despite Koula’s absence. If the Sea Eagles dominate territory, their outside backs should get opportunities.
Our Tip: Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
Early Betting Verdict
The markets I want to focus on are Manly’s try scorers and Damien Cook’s increased workload. The Sea Eagles’ strong recent record against the Dragons at 4 Pines Park makes Saab and Trbojevic particularly appealing.
Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
Saab’s home record jumps off the page: five tries across his past four games at 4 Pines Park.
Our Tip: Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
Turbo remains Manly’s biggest attacking weapon and should be heavily involved if the Sea Eagles control this game.
Our Tip: Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
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Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
Sloan provides the best Dragons try-scoring option, having crossed six times in seven matches against Manly.
Our Tip: Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
Damien Cook – Tackles
Cook moving from the bench into the starting hooking role is exactly the type of Team List Tuesday change worth targeting.
Our Tip: Damien Cook – Over Tackles
Haumole Olakau’atu – Anytime Try Scorer
Olakau’atu remains on Manly’s right edge and gives Jamal Fogarty a powerful close-range target.
Our Tip: Haumole Olakau’atu – Anytime Try Scorer
Jamal Fogarty – Try Assists
Fogarty retains the No.7 jersey with Turbo at fullback and Saab, Garrick and Hopoate outside him.
Our Tip: Jamal Fogarty – 1+ Try Assist
Best Bet From The Team Lists
Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
Saab is the player I’d target first. He’s scored five tries in his past four appearances at 4 Pines Park, while the Dragons arrive having won only two of their past 18 away matches.
With Turbo back at fullback and Fogarty directing Manly around the park, Saab should get opportunities if the Sea Eagles spend enough time attacking the Dragons’ line.
Our Tip: Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
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I’d also check Saab’s 2+ Tries market with Sportsbet and TAB for a higher-priced option.
Value Bet
Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
Rather than doubling down on another Manly player, Sloan gives us an appealing Dragons option.
His record of six tries from seven games against the Sea Eagles is strong, and Koula’s absence changes the defensive makeup of Manly’s backline.
Our Tip: Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
Team List Betting Summary
Best Bet: Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
Value Bet: Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
Other Sea Eagles Try Scorer: Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
Forward Try Scorer: Haumole Olakau’atu – Anytime Try Scorer
Playmaker Prop: Jamal Fogarty – 1+ Try Assist
Tackle Prop: Damien Cook – Over Tackles
Higher-Odds Play: Jason Saab – 2+ Tries
