The official team lists are in for Knights vs Sea Eagles, with both sides receiving major boosts. Newcastle regain Bradman Best and Jacob Saifiti, while Tom Trbojevic returns at fullback for Manly after three games out. Those changes create several appealing anytime try scorer and player-prop opportunities.
Biggest Winners – Knights
Bradman Best
Best returns from injury at centre, restoring Newcastle’s dangerous combination with Greg Marzhew on the left edge.
Our Tip: Bradman Best – Anytime Try Scorer
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Greg Marzhew
Best’s return is good news for Marzhew outside him. Newcastle should again look to their powerful left edge when attacking Manly’s line.
Our Tip: Greg Marzhew – Anytime Try Scorer
Kalyn Ponga
With Best back and Newcastle fielding Dominic Young and Marzhew on the wings, Ponga has plenty of strike runners to target.
Our Tip: Kalyn Ponga – 1+ Try Assist
Biggest Losers – Knights
Dane Gagai
Gagai is out after suffering a hamstring strain against the Titans, with Fletcher Hunt moving into the centres.
Betting impact: Manly could look to test the new Hunt-Young defensive combination.
Francis Manuleleua
Manuleleua is unavailable after developing delayed concussion symptoms, with Tyson Frizell coming into the starting side.
Our Tip: Tyson Frizell – Over Tackles
Knights Edge Defence
The return of Tom Trbojevic immediately makes Manly more dangerous, particularly with Jason Saab, Tolu Koula and Reuben Garrick around him.
Our Tip: Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
Biggest Winners – Sea Eagles
Tom Trbojevic
This is the biggest team-list change in the game. Trbojevic returns to fullback after missing three matches with a hamstring injury.
Our Tip: Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
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Jason Saab
Turbo’s return should help Saab’s try-scoring prospects. Trbojevic’s ability to create numbers on the edges gives Manly’s winger another avenue to the line.
Our Tip: Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
Haumole Olakau’atu
Olakau’atu remains Manly’s major close-range threat in the forwards and could benefit from Trbojevic returning to straighten and sharpen their attack.
Our Tip: Haumole Olakau’atu – Anytime Try Scorer
Biggest Losers – Sea Eagles
Joey Walsh
Walsh is out after suffering a hairline fracture of his jaw against the Dolphins. Clayton Faulalo shifts from fullback to five-eighth for his first start in the No.6 jersey for Manly.
Our Tip: Knights – Over Team Total Points
Clayton Faulalo
Faulalo’s move to five-eighth is a major positional change. He’ll partner Jamal Fogarty against a Newcastle side chasing a fourth consecutive victory.
Betting impact: I’d avoid Faulalo’s individual props and instead target Manly’s established attacking players.
Manly’s Halves
Fogarty provides experience, but losing Walsh and moving Faulalo into an unfamiliar No.6 role creates uncertainty around Manly’s attack.
Our Tip: Kalyn Ponga – Anytime Try Scorer
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Early Betting Verdict
The two team-list developments I want to target are Bradman Best returning for Newcastle and Tom Trbojevic returning for Manly. Newcastle also enter having won three straight, including a 36-26 victory over the Titans last round.
Bradman Best – Anytime Try Scorer
Best’s return restores Newcastle’s first-choice strike centre and reunites him with Marzhew on the left.
Our Tip: Bradman Best – Anytime Try Scorer
Greg Marzhew – Anytime Try Scorer
Best’s presence inside him should create better attacking opportunities for Marzhew close to the Manly line.
Our Tip: Greg Marzhew – Anytime Try Scorer
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Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
Turbo returns directly to fullback and should immediately become the focal point of Manly’s attack.
Our Tip: Tom Trbojevic – Anytime Try Scorer
Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
Turbo’s return makes Saab one of the Manly players most likely to benefit, particularly when Trbojevic sweeps towards the edges.
Our Tip: Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
Kalyn Ponga – Try Assists
Best’s return gives Ponga another elite attacking target alongside Young and Marzhew.
Our Tip: Kalyn Ponga – 1+ Try Assist
Jacob Saifiti – Run Metres
Saifiti returns from injury directly into Newcastle’s starting front row, pushing Cody Hopwood back to the interchange.
Our Tip: Jacob Saifiti – Over Run Metres
Best Bet From The Team Lists
Bradman Best – Anytime Try Scorer
Best’s return is the Newcastle selection change I want to exploit. He gives Ponga a powerful attacking target and restores the Best-Marzhew combination on Newcastle’s left edge.
Our Tip: Bradman Best – Anytime Try Scorer
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Value Bet
Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer
Trbojevic’s return is potentially just as important for the players around him as it is for Turbo himself. Saab’s speed makes him the Manly player I’d target for value if Trbojevic immediately improves their edge attack.
Our Tip: Jason Saab – Anytime Try Scorer