The official team lists are in for Dragons vs Bulldogs, with Canterbury forced into an outside-back reshuffle while the Dragons stick with the side that beat the Tigers. We’ve assessed where the selections create the strongest anytime try scorer and player-prop opportunities for punters.
Biggest Winners – Dragons
Tyrell Sloan
Sloan keeps his place on the wing and comes into this clash having scored eight tries in his past eight games. Sportsbet currently has him at $1.93 to score.
Our Tip: Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
Daniel Atkinson
With Clint Gutherson sidelined by a knee injury, Atkinson remains at fullback. The role gives him considerably more running and support-play opportunities than playing in the halves.
Our Tip: Daniel Atkinson – Over Run Metres
Hamish Stewart
Stewart remains in the starting back row and has scored in three of his past five matches according to Sportsbet’s current market data.
Our Tip: Hamish Stewart – Anytime Try Scorer
Biggest Losers – Dragons
Clint Gutherson
Gutherson is set to miss the final three games with a knee injury, leaving Atkinson at fullback.
Betting Impact: Atkinson’s run-metre markets become considerably more appealing with the No.1 jersey.
Dragons Edge Defence
Canterbury’s reshuffle still leaves plenty of strike out wide, with Matt Burton at centre, Bronson Xerri returning to the starting side and Enari Tuala moving to the wing.
Our Tip: Enari Tuala – Anytime Try Scorer
Dragons at Allianz Stadium
The Dragons have conceded 237 points across five consecutive losses at Allianz Stadium, a concerning trend against a Bulldogs side fighting to stay in the finals race.
Our Tip: Bulldogs – Over Team Total Points
Biggest Winners – Bulldogs
Enari Tuala
Jethro Rinakama’s season-ending knee and ankle injuries push Tuala from centre to the wing, a move that makes his try-scoring market much more appealing. He’s currently $1.89 to score with Sportsbet.
Our Tip: Enari Tuala – Anytime Try Scorer
Bronson Xerri
Xerri returns to the starting side at centre following Rinakama’s injury. His direct running gives Canterbury another dangerous option against a Dragons defence that has struggled badly at Allianz Stadium.
Our Tip: Bronson Xerri – Anytime Try Scorer
Jacob Kiraz
Kiraz stays on the opposite wing and scored against the Dragons when these teams met in Las Vegas earlier this season.
Our Tip: Jacob Kiraz – Anytime Try Scorer
Biggest Losers – Bulldogs
Jethro Rinakama
Rinakama will miss the remainder of the season after suffering knee and ankle injuries. His absence forces Tuala onto the wing and brings Xerri into the centres.
Betting Impact: Tuala’s move to the wing makes him the Bulldogs player whose try-scoring appeal increases most from the change.
Bulldogs’ Recent Form
Canterbury have dropped consecutive games to the Roosters and Rabbitohs after previously beating the Tigers, Warriors and Storm.
Our Tip: Dragons +5.5 Line
Bulldogs Left Edge
Sloan’s scoring form makes Canterbury’s defence on his side an area punters should pay particular attention to.
Our Tip: Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
Early Betting Verdict
The most interesting betting angles come from Sloan’s try-scoring form and Canterbury’s backline reshuffle. Sportsbet currently has the Bulldogs $1.46 favourites, the Dragons $2.72 and Canterbury -5.5 at $1.83. Prices are current at the time of writing and can move.
Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
Eight tries in his past eight games makes Sloan difficult to overlook, and his current $1.93 price is still close to even money.
Our Tip: Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
Enari Tuala – Anytime Try Scorer
Tuala’s move from centre to wing is exactly the type of team-list change we want to target. He’s currently the shortest-priced anytime scorer at $1.89.
Our Tip: Enari Tuala – Anytime Try Scorer
Bronson Xerri – Anytime Try Scorer
Xerri returns at centre and offers more value than Canterbury’s wingers. Sportsbet currently has him at $2.60 anytime and $13 first try scorer.
Our Tip: Bronson Xerri – Anytime Try Scorer
Jacob Kiraz – Anytime Try Scorer
Kiraz scored in the 15-14 Round 1 win over the Dragons and remains one of Canterbury’s primary finishers.
Our Tip: Jacob Kiraz – Anytime Try Scorer
Hamish Stewart – Anytime Try Scorer
Stewart is the bigger-price option. Sportsbet’s market data shows three tries across his past five, yet he’s currently $3.70 anytime.
Our Tip: Hamish Stewart – Anytime Try Scorer
Bulldogs – Line
Canterbury have won their past six games against the Dragons, but the last meeting was only 15-14. With the Dragons now chasing a third consecutive win, the current 5.5-point start is worth considering rather than simply taking the Bulldogs at a short head-to-head price.
Our Tip: Dragons +5.5
Best Bet From The Team Lists
Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
This is the strongest combination of form, role and price. Sloan has scored eight tries in his past eight matches and is still available at $1.93 in Sportsbet’s 1+ Try market.
Our Tip: Tyrell Sloan – Anytime Try Scorer
For punters chasing a bigger price, Sportsbet currently has Sloan 2+ Tries at $4.90.
Value Bet
Bronson Xerri – Anytime Try Scorer
Xerri coming back into the starting centres is one of the key changes created by the Bulldogs’ team list, and the $2.60 anytime price provides more appeal than the shorter Tuala and Kiraz options.
Our Tip: Bronson Xerri – Anytime Try Scorer
