The Newcastle Knights host the Dolphins on Sunday in a blockbuster clash with top-four ramifications, and you can find our full betting insights and tips available below.
Both sides enter the weekend with identical 10-5 records and genuine aspirations of securing a top-four finish, making this one of the biggest games of the round. Newcastle has won five straight matches despite losing several stars to Origin, while the Dolphins arrive riding a club-record eight-game winning streak. However, the visitors will once again be severely depleted by representative duties, setting the stage for a fascinating showdown.
Last 3 Meetings
- Round 2, 2025: Newcastle Knights 26 def. Dolphins 12
- Round 16, 2025: Newcastle Knights 26 def. Dolphins 20
- Week 1 Finals, 2024: Newcastle Knights 14 def. Dolphins 6
Most Tries – Last 5 Games
Newcastle Knights
- Greg Marzhew — 7 tries
- Bradman Best — 4 tries
- Dylan Lucas — 3 tries
Dolphins
- Herbie Farnworth — 5 tries
- Jamayne Isaako — 4 tries
- Kodi Nikorima — 3 tries
Average Total Match Points – Last 10 Games
- Newcastle Knights: 50.8 average total match points
- Dolphins: 59.7 average total match points
Betting Insights
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The Newcastle Knights have won their last five consecutive NRL games against The Dolphins after losing their inaugural meeting in Round 3, 2023; though, four of those five wins came by a margin of eight points or fewer on the day.
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The Newcastle Knights are on a four-game winning streak at McDonald Jones Stadium, each by a margin of no greater than six points on the day, while The Dolphins are on an eight-game winning streak in the competition overall, including each of their last two games outside Queensland.
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The Newcastle Knights have won their last three consecutive Sunday games in the NRL despite leading at half-time only once in that stretch, while The Dolphins have won three of their last four Sunday games despite leading at half-time only once.
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The Dolphins have lost only once in regular time across their last five NRL games played outside Queensland, picking up three wins and one Golden Point defeat in that stretch; they’ve won their last two games outside Queensland in a row and will be looking to win a third in succession for the first time.
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Each of the six NRL games between the Newcastle Knights and The Dolphins have been won by the team which scored the opening try of the game on the day, with either a fullback (2) or a winger (2) scoring the opening try in four of those six games.
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The Newcastle Knights have scored 21 tries from sets begun behind their own 20m line this NRL season, the most of any team in the competition; though, only the Gold Coast Titans (9) have scored fewer tries from sets begun in the attacking 20m zone than the Knights (18).
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The Dolphins have won five of their 10 games in the 2026 NRL season when they’ve conceded the opening try of the game on the day, the joint-most comeback wins of any team this campaign (alongside the New Zealand Warriors).
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Dylan Brown (Newcastle Knights) has scored one try in each of his two NRL games against The Dolphins; however, they are the only opponent against whom Brown has never won in the competition (L2).
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Dominic Young (Newcastle Knights) has made 14 line breaks across his last six NRL games but has not scored a try in any of his last four games; a fifth straight game without a try would equal his longest try drought in the competition (Round 10-15, 2022).
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Jamayne Isaako (The Dolphins) has scored 11 tries across his last nine NRL games and has scored seven tries across his last six games against the Newcastle Knights.
View our line, try scorer & match points tips below
Our Bets
- $200 Dolphins -1.5 – $1.90 With NEXTBET – Bet Here
- $100 Farnworth Anytime Try – $1.97 With NEXTBET – Bet Here
